مدرسة الاحتمالات

Port Vale v Sunderland

البداية: 2026-03-08 13:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Port Vale (المضيف)

التنبؤ 13.72%7.29السعر العادل
EV +4.98%
الأفضلية +0.651%
Kelly +0.749%
النمو +0.037%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 7.65

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
12.39%13.81%13.70%15.75%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
6.006.766.757.6516.67%14.79%14.81%13.07%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Sunderland (الضيف)

التنبؤ 63.43%1.58السعر العادل
EV -2.96%
الأفضلية -1.93%
Kelly -5.58%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.53

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
61.54%63.42%63.38%65.15%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.401.471.471.5371.43%67.90%68.03%65.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.85%4.38السعر العادل
EV +2.83%
الأفضلية +0.628%
Kelly +0.807%
النمو +0.023%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.01%22.77%22.92%24.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.604.174.204.5027.78%24.00%23.81%22.22%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
BetUS7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
BetOnline.ag7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
LowVig.ag7.65I 13.07%NM 12.56%EV +4.98%E +0.651%K +0.749%G +0.037%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.46%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.98%EV -4.49%E -1.07%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.1%2026-03-08 13:15
Coolbet7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%EV +4.30%E +0.565%K +0.651%G +0.028%1.52I 65.79%NM 64.20%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.96%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%2.5%2026-03-08 09:29
Pinnacle7.59I 13.18%NM 12.68%EV +4.16%E +0.548%K +0.631%G +0.026%1.50I 66.67%NM 64.14%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.18%EV -5.17%E -1.25%K -1.64%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:15
SportsBet7.50I 13.33%NM 12.51%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.15%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.34%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-03-08 10:59
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.39%EV +2.92%E +0.390%K +0.450%G +0.013%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 12:49
NordicBet7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 13:05
Betsson7.40I 13.51%NM 12.92%EV +1.55%E +0.210%K +0.243%G +0.004%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.88%EV -3.59%E -2.36%K -6.91%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.74%E -2.47%K -3.30%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 13:05
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 13.08%EV -0.506%E -0.070%K -0.081%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.22%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.71%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Marathon Bet7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV -1.19%E -0.166%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 63.72%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.91%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%3.9%2026-03-08 13:25
1xBet7.06I 14.16%NM 13.73%EV -3.11%E -0.441%K -0.514%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.35%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.92%EV -3.34%E -0.790%K -1.04%G +0.000%3.2%2026-03-08 13:20
ATG (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%2.7%2026-03-08 13:19
Svenska Spel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 64.46%EV -4.23%E -2.80%K -8.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.63%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%2.7%2026-03-08 13:20
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.50%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.44%EV -5.49%E -3.69%K -11.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.06%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:09
Bet Victor7.00I 14.29%NM 13.27%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.07%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.66%EV -6.31%E -1.54%K -2.04%G +0.000%7.6%2026-03-08 08:48
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 13.14%EV -3.94%E -0.562%K -0.656%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.87%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.7%2026-03-08 10:14
Unibet6.75I 14.81%NM 14.00%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.28%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.72%EV -0.602%E -0.138%K -0.180%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 13:20
Grosvenor6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:20
TABtouch6.75I 14.81%NM 13.84%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.43%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 13:19
Casumo6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:19
Unibet (NL)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
Unibet (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
betPARX6.75I 14.81%NM 13.78%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.59%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.63%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.5%2026-03-08 13:20
LeoVegas (SE)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.74%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.43%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.83%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%7.8%2026-03-08 13:20
LeoVegas6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -7.37%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.59%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.73%EV -2.89%E -0.679%K -0.888%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 13:20
Codere (IT)6.60I 15.15%NM 14.22%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.43%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.35%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-08 12:50
Parions Sport (FR)6.60I 15.15%NM 13.91%EV -9.43%E -1.43%K -1.68%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.22%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.87%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 06:34
Coral6.50I 15.38%NM 14.71%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.51%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.77%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.6%2026-03-08 12:50
theScore Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.56%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.94%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.51%EV +0.541%E +0.123%K +0.159%G +0.001%5.7%2026-03-08 06:59
Unibet (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.41%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.29%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.30%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%6.8%2026-03-08 06:34
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 14.26%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.35%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.40%EV -1.06%E -0.245%K -0.318%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 10:14
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 62.59%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.0%2026-03-08 12:49
Bovada6.50I 15.38%NM 14.13%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.91%EV -7.40%E -5.07%K -16.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.96%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-08 13:18
William Hill6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:04
888sport (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Mr Green (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.93%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.86%EV -8.67%E -6.02%K -19.69%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.21%EV -10.88%E -2.79%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-08 13:05
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.43%EV -10.80%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.33%EV -11.20%E -8.00%K -28.01%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.24%EV -17.74%E -4.93%K -6.82%G +0.000%14.6%2026-03-08 10:59
Fliff6.35I 15.75%NM 14.39%EV -12.86%E -2.02%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.04%EV -8.03%E -5.54%K -17.85%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.57%EV -7.46%E -1.84%K -2.44%G +0.000%9.4%2026-03-08 13:19
BetMGM6.25I 16.00%NM 15.21%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.15%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.64%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 12:49
Winamax (DE)6.25I 16.00%NM 15.12%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -6.13%E -4.14%K -12.77%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 21.01%EV +2.83%E +0.628%K +0.807%G +0.023%5.8%2026-03-08 06:59
LiveScore Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:20
Virgin Bet6.25I 16.00%NM 14.58%EV -14.23%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 63.72%EV -9.30%E -6.50%K -21.63%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.70%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-08 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.75%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.76%EV -2.96%E -1.93%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.50%EV -4.03%E -0.959%K -1.26%G +0.000%5.8%2026-03-08 12:50
Winamax (FR)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.44%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.02%EV -6.76%E -4.60%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.54%EV -1.74%E -0.406%K -0.529%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-08 12:50
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -17.66%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -4.86%E -3.24%K -9.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.60%E -2.15%K -2.87%G +0.000%8.3%2026-03-08 12:49
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.60I 11.63%NM 11.56%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.84%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.60%0.6%2026-03-08 13:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:15
Matchbook8.20I 12.20%NM 12.11%1.52I 65.79%NM 65.32%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%0.7%2026-03-08 13:05
Smarkets8.20I 12.20%NM 11.99%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.13%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-03-08 13:25
Kalshi7.69I 13.00%NM 12.61%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.09%4.35I 22.99%NM 22.30%3.1%2026-03-08 13:20