La scuola delle quote

Manchester City v Liverpool

Inizio: 2026-04-04 11:45 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (16 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Manchester City (Casa)

Previsione 54.49%1.84quota equa
EV -1.92%
Vantaggio -1.07%
Kelly -2.40%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.64%54.47%54.45%55.50%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.82%57.80%55.56%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liverpool (Trasferta)

Previsione 22.72%4.40quota equa
EV +1.13%
Vantaggio +0.253%
Kelly +0.326%
Crescita +0.004%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.45

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.02%22.72%22.78%23.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.754.134.154.4526.67%24.24%24.10%22.47%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.79%4.39quota equa
EV -1.34%
Vantaggio -0.309%
Kelly -0.402%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
21.86%22.81%22.77%25.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.404.114.154.3329.41%24.32%24.10%23.09%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.35%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.02%EV +1.13%E +0.253%K +0.326%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.63%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 11:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:19
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.60%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.60%E -0.370%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-04 11:29
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 11:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 11:19
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 11:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.30%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.62%E -0.855%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 11:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.20%EV -5.89%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 10:59
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 03:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:29
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 11:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 11:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:19
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -22.53%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-04-04 11:30