L’École des cotesFrançais
Manchester City v Liverpool
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Manchester City (Local)
Prévision 54.49%1.84cote équitable
EV -1.92%
Avantage -1.07%
Kelly -2.40%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 1.80
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.64%54.47%54.45%55.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.82%57.80%55.56%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Liverpool (Visiteur)
Prévision 22.72%4.40cote équitable
EV +1.13%
Avantage +0.253%
Kelly +0.326%
Croissance +0.004%
avec la cote maximale 4.45
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.02%22.72%22.78%23.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.134.154.4526.67%24.24%24.10%22.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Match nul
Prévision 22.79%4.39cote équitable
EV -1.34%
Avantage -0.309%
Kelly -0.402%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 4.33
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.86%22.81%22.77%25.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.404.114.154.3329.41%24.32%24.10%23.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur ▼ | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.35%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.02%EV +1.13%E +0.253%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.63%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.60%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.60%E -0.370%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.30%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.62%E -0.855%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.20%EV -5.89%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 03:29 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 03:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 03:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 03:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -22.53%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (6)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |