مدرسة الاحتمالات

Manchester City v Liverpool

البداية: 2026-04-04 11:45 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Manchester City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.49%1.84السعر العادل
EV -1.92%
الأفضلية -1.07%
Kelly -2.40%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.80

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
51.64%54.47%54.45%55.50%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.82%57.80%55.56%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Liverpool (الضيف)

التنبؤ 22.72%4.40السعر العادل
EV +1.13%
الأفضلية +0.253%
Kelly +0.326%
النمو +0.004%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.45

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
22.02%22.72%22.78%23.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.754.134.154.4526.67%24.24%24.10%22.47%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.79%4.39السعر العادل
EV -1.34%
الأفضلية -0.309%
Kelly -0.402%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.33

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
21.86%22.81%22.77%25.36%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.404.114.154.3329.41%24.32%24.10%23.09%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coolbet1.77I 56.50%NM 55.35%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 22.02%EV +1.13%E +0.253%K +0.326%G +0.004%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.63%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-04 11:20
LowVig.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:20
BetOnline.ag1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%3.6%2026-04-04 11:19
1xBet1.80I 55.56%NM 54.60%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.60%E -0.370%K -0.481%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000%1.7%2026-04-04 11:29
Marathon Bet1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%2.4%2026-04-04 11:30
ATG (SE)1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 11:19
Svenska Spel1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-04 11:20
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Pinnacle1.78I 56.18%NM 54.30%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.62%E -0.855%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.5%2026-04-04 11:30
BetUS1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000%4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.13I 24.21%NM 23.20%EV -5.89%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
Unibet (NL)1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 10:59
Casumo1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
betPARX1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 11:00
theScore Bet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-04 03:30
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-04 03:29
Unibet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-04 11:20
SportsBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Grosvenor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
TABtouch1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
BoyleSports1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 10:59
FanDuel1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-04 11:20
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 11:30
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-04 11:30
Everygame1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-04 11:19
Codere (IT)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 03:35
Unibet (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-04 11:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-04 11:19
LeoVegas1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 11:20
Coral1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-04 11:29
BetMGM1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-04 11:29
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-04 03:29
Ladbrokes (AU)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Neds1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Sky Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-04 11:20
Betway1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-04 10:29
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Fliff1.67I 59.88%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-04 11:30
PMU (FR)1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-04 11:20
LiveScore Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-04 11:20
Virgin Bet1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-04 11:20
Winamax (FR)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-04-04 03:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -22.53%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-04 11:20
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Smarkets1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Matchbook1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68%0.2%2026-04-04 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28%4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11%4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61%0.5%2026-04-04 11:00
Kalshi1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32%3.1%2026-04-04 11:30