La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Manchester City v Liverpool
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Manchester City (Local)
Predicción 54.49%1.84momio equitativo
EV -1.92%
Ventaja -1.07%
Kelly -2.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
51.64%54.47%54.45%55.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.671.731.731.8059.88%57.82%57.80%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liverpool (Visitante)
Predicción 22.72%4.40momio equitativo
EV +1.13%
Ventaja +0.253%
Kelly +0.326%
Crecimiento +0.004%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.45
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.02%22.72%22.78%23.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.754.134.154.4526.67%24.24%24.10%22.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.79%4.39momio equitativo
EV -1.34%
Ventaja -0.309%
Kelly -0.402%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.33
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.86%22.81%22.77%25.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.114.154.3329.41%24.32%24.10%23.09%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.35%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.45I 22.47%NM 22.02%EV +1.13%E +0.253%K +0.326%G +0.004% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.63%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.74I 57.47%NM 55.50%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.38I 22.83%NM 22.05%EV -0.465%E -0.106%K -0.138%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.46%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| 1xBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 54.60%EV -1.92%E -1.07%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.60%E -0.370%K -0.481%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 22.70%EV -1.34%E -0.309%K -0.402%G +0.000% | 1.7% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.57%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.72%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 2.4% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.79I 55.87%NM 54.42%EV -2.46%E -1.38%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.66%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.92%EV -3.16%E -0.744%K -0.972%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| DraftKings | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.98%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.25%EV -2.28%E -0.531%K -0.692%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.78%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.78I 56.18%NM 54.30%EV -3.01%E -1.69%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.85%EV -3.62%E -0.855%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| BetUS | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.14%EV -3.55%E -2.01%K -4.62%G +0.000% | 4.23I 23.64%NM 22.65%EV -3.87%E -0.916%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.13I 24.21%NM 23.20%EV -5.89%E -1.43%K -1.88%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| Casumo | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| betPARX | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| theScore Bet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.69%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.66%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-04 03:30 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-04 03:29 |
| Unibet | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.39%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.08%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| SportsBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Grosvenor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| TABtouch | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.53%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.46%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Paddy Power | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 10:59 |
| FanDuel | 1.69I 59.17%NM 54.80%EV -7.91%E -4.68%K -11.47%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.05%EV -4.56%E -1.08%K -1.42%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.15%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betsson | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| NordicBet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.25%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.69%E -1.37%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.88%EV -5.44%E -1.31%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Everygame | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.03%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 03:35 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.96%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -6.82%E -3.99%K -9.61%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.74%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.68I 59.52%NM 54.65%EV -8.46%E -5.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.39%EV -6.83%E -1.67%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Coral | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.93%EV -4.64%E -2.65%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.60%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.47%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| BetMGM | 1.74I 57.47%NM 54.07%EV -5.19%E -2.98%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.40%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-04 11:29 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.64%EV -6.28%E -3.65%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.50%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.86%EV -2.02%E -0.470%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-04 03:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Neds | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.22%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.33%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.92%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Sky Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.65%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.23%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -4.30%E -1.02%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Betway | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -5.73%E -3.31%K -7.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -8.86%E -2.21%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-04 10:29 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| William Hill | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.84%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Fliff | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.65%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.82%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 22.53%EV -7.72%E -1.91%K -2.53%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 54.34%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.69%EV -9.10%E -2.28%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.97%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.74%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.13%EV -10.00%E -2.53%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.58%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.06%EV -10.24%E -2.59%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.36%EV -11.14%E -2.86%K -3.84%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.04%EV -7.37%E -4.33%K -10.53%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.56%EV -11.37%E -2.92%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.41%EV -6.58%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-04 03:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 51.64%EV -9.00%E -5.39%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.00%EV -14.78%E -3.94%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.36%EV -22.53%E -6.63%K -9.39%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-04 11:20 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Matchbook | 1.81I 55.25%NM 55.14% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.18% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.68% | 0.2% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 55.28% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 22.11% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.61% | 0.5% | 2026-04-04 11:00 |
| Kalshi | 1.75I 57.14%NM 55.42% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.26% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.32% | 3.1% | 2026-04-04 11:30 |