Language:English
Fulham v Southampton
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Fulham (Local)
Prediction 57.91%1.73fair odd
EV -3.88%
Edge -2.33%
Kelly -5.87%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.27%58.04%57.79%62.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.611.6665.36%62.42%62.11%60.24%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Southampton (Visit)
Prediction 19.75%5.06fair odd
EV +8.64%
Edge +1.57%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.166%
assuming max odds 5.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.27%19.71%19.86%20.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.334.864.805.5023.09%20.57%20.83%18.18%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 22.34%4.48fair odd
EV +2.77%
Edge +0.602%
Kelly +0.770%
Growth +0.021%
assuming max odds 4.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.55%22.25%22.36%24.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.504.174.204.6028.57%23.99%23.81%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Fulham (Local): 57.91%; Southampton (Visit): 19.75%; Draw: 22.34%. For Southampton (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.06. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.64%.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +8.64%E +1.57%K +1.92%G +0.166% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +2.77%E +0.602%K +0.770%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV +0.736%E +0.144%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -0.647%E -0.129%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -3.04%E -0.700%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.63%E -0.328%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.28%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.68%EV -8.15%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.83%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +0.537%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.80%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -13.09%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Kalshi◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |