La scuola delle quote

Fulham v Southampton

Inizio: 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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47 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Fulham (Casa)

Previsione 57.91%1.73quota equa
EV -3.88%
Vantaggio -2.33%
Kelly -5.87%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.66

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
56.27%58.04%57.79%62.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.601.611.6665.36%62.42%62.11%60.24%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Southampton (Trasferta)

Previsione 19.75%5.06quota equa
EV +8.64%
Vantaggio +1.57%
Kelly +1.92%
Crescita +0.166%

ipotizzando la quota massima 5.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
17.27%19.71%19.86%20.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.334.864.805.5023.09%20.57%20.83%18.18%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 22.34%4.48quota equa
EV +2.77%
Vantaggio +0.602%
Kelly +0.770%
Crescita +0.021%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
20.55%22.25%22.36%24.60%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.504.174.204.6028.57%23.99%23.81%21.74%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (47 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼PareggioMargineAggiornamento
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +8.64%E +1.57%K +1.92%G +0.166%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +2.77%E +0.602%K +0.770%G +0.021%5.3%2026-03-08 11:44
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 11:45
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV +0.736%E +0.144%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -0.647%E -0.129%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -3.04%E -0.700%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:44
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:45
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.63%E -0.328%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 11:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 11:44
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:44
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 11:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 11:44
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 11:44
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 11:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 11:45
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.28%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.68%EV -8.15%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.83%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:44
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 11:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +0.537%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001%8.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.80%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-08 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -13.09%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:44
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 11:44
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-03-08 11:45
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-03-08 11:44