La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Fulham v Southampton
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Fulham (Local)
Predicción 57.91%1.73momio equitativo
EV -3.88%
Ventaja -2.33%
Kelly -5.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
56.27%58.04%57.79%62.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.531.601.611.6665.36%62.42%62.11%60.24%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Southampton (Visitante)
Predicción 19.75%5.06momio equitativo
EV +8.64%
Ventaja +1.57%
Kelly +1.92%
Crecimiento +0.166%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.27%19.71%19.86%20.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.334.864.805.5023.09%20.57%20.83%18.18%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 22.34%4.48momio equitativo
EV +2.77%
Ventaja +0.602%
Kelly +0.770%
Crecimiento +0.021%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.25%22.36%24.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.174.204.6028.57%23.99%23.81%21.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| theScore Bet | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +8.64%E +1.57%K +1.92%G +0.166% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +2.77%E +0.602%K +0.770%G +0.021% | 5.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Grosvenor | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Casumo | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| betPARX | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LeoVegas | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV +0.736%E +0.144%K +0.179%G +0.001% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -0.647%E -0.129%K -0.161%G +0.000% | 4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -3.04%E -0.700%K -0.910%G +0.000% | 3.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 1xBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.63%E -0.328%K -0.411%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| NordicBet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betsson | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Coral | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| FanDuel | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| BetMGM | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| SportsBet | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Paddy Power | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Parions Sport (FR) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Fliff | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.28%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.65I 21.51%NM 19.68%EV -8.15%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000% | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.83%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Neds | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Bovada | 1.59I 62.89%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| William Hill | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 888sport | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Sky Bet | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +0.537%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betway | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.80%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -13.09%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| BoyleSports | 1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |
| Matchbook | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94% | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63% | 0.5% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73% | 5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56% | 0.8% | 2026-03-08 11:45 |
| Kalshi | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80% | 5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65% | 4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55% | 2.0% | 2026-03-08 11:44 |