مدرسة الاحتمالات

Fulham v Southampton

البداية: 2026-03-08 12:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

47 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Fulham (المضيف)

التنبؤ 57.91%1.73السعر العادل
EV -3.88%
الأفضلية -2.33%
Kelly -5.87%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.66

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
56.27%58.04%57.79%62.08%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.531.601.611.6665.36%62.42%62.11%60.24%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Southampton (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.75%5.06السعر العادل
EV +8.64%
الأفضلية +1.57%
Kelly +1.92%
النمو +0.166%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.50

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
17.27%19.71%19.86%20.95%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.334.864.805.5023.09%20.57%20.83%18.18%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 22.34%4.48السعر العادل
EV +2.77%
الأفضلية +0.602%
Kelly +0.770%
النمو +0.021%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.60

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
20.55%22.25%22.36%24.60%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.504.174.204.6028.57%23.99%23.81%21.74%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (47 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
theScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.08%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.27%EV +8.64%E +1.57%K +1.92%G +0.166%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.65%EV +2.77%E +0.602%K +0.770%G +0.021%5.3%2026-03-08 11:44
ATG (SE)1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 11:45
Svenska Spel1.64I 60.98%NM 59.34%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.02%EV +6.66%E +1.23%K +1.51%G +0.101%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.63%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%2.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.32%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 18.08%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.60%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:45
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.45%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.78%EV +3.70%E +0.704%K +0.870%G +0.032%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.77%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet (NL)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
betPARX1.56I 64.10%NM 59.51%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.85%EV +2.71%E +0.521%K +0.645%G +0.017%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 59.12%EV -10.25%E -6.61%K -18.63%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.97%EV +0.736%E +0.144%K +0.179%G +0.001%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.54%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.03I 19.88%NM 19.20%EV -0.647%E -0.129%K -0.161%G +0.000%4.34I 23.04%NM 22.26%EV -3.04%E -0.700%K -0.910%G +0.000%3.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Marathon Bet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.05%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.67%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:44
LowVig.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:45
BetOnline.ag1.65I 60.61%NM 58.38%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.27%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.31I 23.20%NM 22.35%EV -3.71%E -0.860%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.8%2026-03-08 11:45
Virgin Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
LiveScore Bet1.54I 64.94%NM 59.07%EV -10.82%E -7.03%K -20.04%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -1.24%E -0.248%K -0.310%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.74%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%9.9%2026-03-08 11:44
1xBet1.66I 60.24%NM 58.16%EV -3.88%E -2.33%K -5.87%G +0.000%4.98I 20.08%NM 19.39%EV -1.63%E -0.328%K -0.411%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.45%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.6%2026-03-08 11:44
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.77%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.26%EV -2.23%E -0.450%K -0.564%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.97%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 58.57%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.65%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.78%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.0%2026-03-08 11:44
FanDuel1.59I 62.89%NM 58.79%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.47%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.74%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-08 11:44
Bet Victor1.60I 62.50%NM 58.02%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.34%EV -5.19%E -1.08%K -1.37%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:45
Unibet (UK)1.65I 60.61%NM 57.62%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.01%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 22.37%EV -5.05%E -1.19%K -1.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-03-08 11:45
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 57.46%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.96%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.58%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.5%2026-03-08 11:44
BetMGM1.62I 61.73%NM 58.30%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.88%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.81%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%5.9%2026-03-08 11:44
SportsBet1.61I 62.11%NM 58.45%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.73%EV -3.26%E -0.753%K -0.979%G +0.000%6.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 58.67%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.39%EV -6.18%E -1.30%K -1.65%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.93%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-03-08 11:44
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.34%EV -4.45%E -2.70%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.13%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.53%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%5.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Parions Sport (FR)1.56I 64.10%NM 58.71%EV -9.67%E -6.20%K -17.26%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.49%EV -7.17%E -1.52%K -1.94%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.81%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-08 11:45
Fliff1.57I 63.69%NM 58.28%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.65I 21.51%NM 19.68%EV -8.15%E -1.75%K -2.23%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 22.05%EV -7.28%E -1.75%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.3%2026-03-08 11:45
Winamax (DE)1.64I 60.98%NM 57.83%EV -5.03%E -3.07%K -7.86%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.62%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.55%EV -1.70%E -0.386%K -0.499%G +0.000%5.4%2026-03-08 11:44
Codere (IT)1.63I 61.35%NM 57.39%EV -5.61%E -3.44%K -8.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.34%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.27%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%6.9%2026-03-08 11:44
Neds1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 57.54%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.26%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.19%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-08 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.69%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.19%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.12%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.7%2026-03-08 11:44
Bovada1.59I 62.89%NM 57.69%EV -7.93%E -4.99%K -13.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.94%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.37%EV -8.40%E -2.05%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-08 11:44
William Hill1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -6.19%E -3.82%K -9.99%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.92%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.50%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-08 11:44
888sport1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Mr Green (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
888sport (SE)1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.85%EV -9.14%E -1.99%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.42%EV -12.87%E -3.30%K -4.44%G +0.000%9.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -9.09%E -5.79%K -15.94%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV +0.537%E +0.119%K +0.153%G +0.001%8.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Betway1.61I 62.11%NM 57.43%EV -6.77%E -4.21%K -11.10%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.55%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.02%EV -6.17%E -1.47%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.1%2026-03-08 11:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 56.27%EV -11.40%E -7.45%K -21.52%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.13%EV -11.12%E -2.47%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.60%EV -21.80%E -6.23%K -8.72%G +0.000%16.2%2026-03-08 11:44
Winamax (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.61%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV -13.09%E -2.98%K -3.85%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -3.93%E -0.914%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.5%2026-03-08 11:44
BoyleSports1.60I 62.50%NM 56.51%EV -7.35%E -4.59%K -12.25%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.88%EV -14.47%E -3.34%K -4.35%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.61%EV -10.63%E -2.66%K -3.54%G +0.000%10.6%2026-03-08 11:44
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:44
Matchbook1.66I 60.24%NM 59.94%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.63%0.5%2026-03-08 11:45
Smarkets1.66I 60.24%NM 59.73%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.71%4.60I 21.74%NM 21.56%0.8%2026-03-08 11:45
Kalshi1.64I 60.98%NM 59.80%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.65%4.55I 21.98%NM 21.55%2.0%2026-03-08 11:44