La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Chelsea v Leeds United
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Chelsea (Casa)
Previsione 56.39%1.77quota equa
EV -2.44%
Vantaggio -1.41%
Kelly -3.34%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.81%56.36%56.34%57.71%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.521.651.671.7365.79%60.58%60.06%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Leeds United (Trasferta)
Previsione 19.64%5.09quota equa
EV +2.12%
Vantaggio +0.408%
Kelly +0.505%
Crescita +0.011%
ipotizzando la quota massima 5.20
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
18.64%19.65%19.66%21.02%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.004.744.755.2025.00%21.11%21.05%19.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Pareggio
Previsione 23.97%4.17quota equa
EV -0.048%
Vantaggio -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Crescita +0.000%
ipotizzando la quota massima 4.17
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
23.51%23.99%24.00%25.31%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.403.873.904.1729.41%25.81%25.64%23.98%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (48 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Pareggio | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.71%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.12%E +0.408%K +0.505%G +0.011% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.40%EV -0.236%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV -0.048%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -1.81%E -0.361%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 06:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 06:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -4.95%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -3.64%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:05 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 22:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 20:53 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 12:18 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -18.50%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -13.16%E -8.54%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.05%EV -15.55%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -12.03%E -7.71%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.30%EV -14.28%E -9.40%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -21.45%E -5.36%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (4)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Pareggio | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |