L’École des cotes

Chelsea v Leeds United

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

48 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Chelsea (Local)

Prévision 56.39%1.77cote équitable
EV -2.44%
Avantage -1.41%
Kelly -3.34%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.81%56.36%56.34%57.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.521.651.671.7365.79%60.58%60.06%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leeds United (Visiteur)

Prévision 19.64%5.09cote équitable
EV +2.12%
Avantage +0.408%
Kelly +0.505%
Croissance +0.011%

avec la cote maximale 5.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.64%19.65%19.66%21.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.004.744.755.2025.00%21.11%21.05%19.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 23.97%4.17cote équitable
EV -0.048%
Avantage -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.17

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.51%23.99%24.00%25.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.873.904.1729.41%25.81%25.64%23.98%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (48 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.71%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.12%E +0.408%K +0.505%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 19:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 07:54
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 07:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.40%EV -0.236%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV -0.048%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-11 00:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -1.81%E -0.361%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 22:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:49
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:54
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 07:54
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -4.95%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -3.64%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 12:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 12:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 07:55
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 07:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 14:04
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 22:08
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:44
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 20:53
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 22:10
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 13:15
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 22:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 12:18
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:19
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:14
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 14:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 13:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -18.50%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -13.16%E -8.54%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.05%EV -15.55%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -12.03%E -7.71%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 13:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.30%EV -14.28%E -9.40%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -21.45%E -5.36%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-08 13:14
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%2.3%2026-04-09 11:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30