La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Chelsea v Leeds United
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Chelsea (Local)
Predicción 56.39%1.77momio equitativo
EV -2.44%
Ventaja -1.41%
Kelly -3.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.73
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
54.81%56.36%56.34%57.71%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.521.651.671.7365.79%60.58%60.06%57.80%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Leeds United (Visitante)
Predicción 19.64%5.09momio equitativo
EV +2.12%
Ventaja +0.408%
Kelly +0.505%
Crecimiento +0.011%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.20
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
18.64%19.65%19.66%21.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.004.744.755.2025.00%21.11%21.05%19.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.97%4.17momio equitativo
EV -0.048%
Ventaja -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.17
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.51%23.99%24.00%25.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.403.873.904.1729.41%25.81%25.64%23.98%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (48 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marathon Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.71%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.12%E +0.408%K +0.505%G +0.011% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-09 19:25 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| 1xBet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000% | 5.08I 19.69%NM 19.40%EV -0.236%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000% | 4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV -0.048%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000% | 1.5% | 2026-04-11 00:05 |
| Coolbet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -1.81%E -0.361%K -0.452%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Betsson | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 06:49 |
| NordicBet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000% | 4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-07 06:49 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| Casumo | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| betPARX | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Unibet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| TABtouch | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Grosvenor | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Pinnacle | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -4.95%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -3.64%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-06 08:55 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 12:09 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-04-13 12:10 |
| Coral | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-07 14:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:05 |
| Neds | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-06 07:55 |
| LeoVegas | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| BetMGM | 1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| SportsBet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-06 22:10 |
| Paddy Power | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 22:08 |
| BoyleSports | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-06 10:44 |
| Bet Victor | 1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-07 20:53 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-04-06 07:54 |
| DraftKings | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-06 22:10 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Everygame | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-13 12:18 |
| 888sport | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| William Hill | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:20 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-06 10:19 |
| Bovada | 1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-07 14:15 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-07 14:04 |
| theScore Bet | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000% | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| Sky Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 12.6% | 2026-04-06 22:09 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.11%G +0.000% | 4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -18.50%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000% | 16.2% | 2026-04-06 22:05 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -13.16%E -8.54%K -24.36%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 20.05%EV -15.55%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -12.03%E -7.71%K -21.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.47%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 14.9% | 2026-04-08 13:15 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.52I 65.79%NM 55.30%EV -14.28%E -9.40%K -27.47%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -21.45%E -5.36%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 19.0% | 2026-04-08 13:14 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (4)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99% | 1.1% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.74I 57.47%NM 56.20% | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85% | 2.3% | 2026-04-09 11:10 |
| Smarkets | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25% | 4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60% | 3.4% | 2026-04-09 11:30 |