مدرسة الاحتمالات

Chelsea v Leeds United

البداية: 2026-04-25 13:00 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

48 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Chelsea (المضيف)

التنبؤ 56.39%1.77السعر العادل
EV -2.44%
الأفضلية -1.41%
Kelly -3.34%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.73

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
54.81%56.36%56.34%57.71%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.521.651.671.7365.79%60.58%60.06%57.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Leeds United (الضيف)

التنبؤ 19.64%5.09السعر العادل
EV +2.12%
الأفضلية +0.408%
Kelly +0.505%
النمو +0.011%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 5.20

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
18.64%19.65%19.66%21.02%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
4.004.744.755.2025.00%21.11%21.05%19.23%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 23.97%4.17السعر العادل
EV -0.048%
الأفضلية -0.012%
Kelly -0.015%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 4.17

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
23.51%23.99%24.00%25.31%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.873.904.1729.41%25.81%25.64%23.98%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (48 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼تعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 57.71%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.64%EV +2.12%E +0.408%K +0.505%G +0.011%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.65%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-09 19:25
Svenska Spel1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 07:54
ATG (SE)1.71I 58.48%NM 57.07%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.13%EV +0.157%E +0.031%K +0.038%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.80%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%2.5%2026-04-06 07:54
1xBet1.73I 57.80%NM 56.97%EV -2.44%E -1.41%K -3.34%G +0.000%5.08I 19.69%NM 19.40%EV -0.236%E -0.046%K -0.058%G +0.000%4.17I 23.98%NM 23.63%EV -0.048%E -0.012%K -0.015%G +0.000%1.5%2026-04-11 00:05
Coolbet1.70I 58.82%NM 56.66%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.26%EV -1.81%E -0.361%K -0.452%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.08%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%3.8%2026-04-06 22:09
Betsson1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:49
NordicBet1.68I 59.52%NM 56.67%EV -5.26%E -3.13%K -7.74%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 19.23%EV -2.79%E -0.563%K -0.706%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-07 06:49
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:55
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:54
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.87%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.38%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.74%EV -4.12%E -1.03%K -1.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Unibet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.85%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.26%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.89%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-06 07:54
TABtouch1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Grosvenor1.65I 60.61%NM 57.00%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.19%EV -3.77%E -0.770%K -0.967%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.81%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-06 07:54
Pinnacle1.67I 59.88%NM 56.80%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.84I 20.66%NM 19.60%EV -4.95%E -1.02%K -1.29%G +0.000%4.02I 24.88%NM 23.60%EV -3.64%E -0.906%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-06 08:55
BetOnline.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 12:09
LowVig.ag1.71I 58.48%NM 56.39%EV -3.57%E -2.09%K -5.03%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.09%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.52%EV -1.73%E -0.421%K -0.557%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-13 12:10
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 55.86%EV -4.13%E -2.43%K -5.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.79%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.35%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-07 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:05
Neds1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:04
Ladbrokes (AU)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-07 14:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.90%EV -8.08%E -4.96%K -12.83%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.32%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.78%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-06 07:55
LeoVegas1.62I 61.73%NM 56.87%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.19%EV -5.73%E -1.19%K -1.51%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.93%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-06 07:54
BetMGM1.69I 59.17%NM 55.89%EV -4.70%E -2.78%K -6.81%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.89%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.22%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-07 14:04
SportsBet1.66I 60.24%NM 56.33%EV -6.39%E -3.85%K -9.68%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.69%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.98%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-06 22:10
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.83%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.63%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 22:08
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 56.58%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.30%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.12%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-06 10:44
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 56.73%EV -9.21%E -5.72%K -15.10%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.04%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-07 20:53
PMU (FR)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 57.06%EV -9.77%E -6.11%K -16.29%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.22%EV -6.72%E -1.41%K -1.79%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.71%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-06 07:54
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 56.54%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.85%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.62%EV -5.32%E -1.35%K -1.80%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-06 22:10
Codere (IT)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.51%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.72%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.77%EV -6.52%E -1.67%K -2.25%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-08 13:15
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 56.47%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.46%EV -7.70%E -1.64%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.07%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-06 22:09
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 55.95%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.07%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.98%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-13 12:18
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:20
William Hill1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:19
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:20
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -5.82%E -3.49%K -8.69%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.01%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.88%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-06 10:19
Bovada1.64I 60.98%NM 56.10%EV -7.52%E -4.58%K -11.74%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.90%EV -7.72%E -2.00%K -2.71%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-07 14:15
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 56.23%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.80%EV -9.66%E -2.10%K -2.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.8%2026-04-08 13:14
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-07 14:04
theScore Bet1.65I 60.61%NM 55.53%EV -6.95%E -4.21%K -10.70%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.36%EV -11.63%E -2.58%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.92%E -2.35%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-08 13:15
Sky Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 54.82%EV -8.64%E -5.34%K -13.94%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.51%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.67%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-06 22:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 54.81%EV -11.46%E -7.30%K -20.11%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 19.87%EV -14.96%E -3.46%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.31%EV -18.50%E -5.44%K -7.71%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-06 22:05
Unibet (FR)1.54I 64.94%NM 55.99%EV -13.16%E -8.54%K -24.36%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.05%EV -15.55%E -3.62%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 23.95%EV -13.71%E -3.81%K -5.27%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-08 13:14
Winamax (DE)1.56I 64.10%NM 55.77%EV -12.03%E -7.71%K -21.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.71%EV -17.52%E -4.17%K -5.47%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 23.51%EV -11.31%E -3.06%K -4.19%G +0.000%14.9%2026-04-08 13:15
Winamax (FR)1.52I 65.79%NM 55.30%EV -14.28%E -9.40%K -27.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -21.45%E -5.36%K -7.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 23.68%EV -14.91%E -4.20%K -5.85%G +0.000%19.0%2026-04-08 13:14
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (4)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.83%4.90I 20.41%NM 20.18%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.99%1.1%2026-04-09 11:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.74I 57.47%NM 56.20%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.96%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.85%2.3%2026-04-09 11:10
Smarkets1.72I 58.14%NM 56.25%4.80I 20.83%NM 20.16%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.60%3.4%2026-04-09 11:30