York City v Bristol Rovers

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (3 in analysis)

Option 1: York City (Local)

Odds

2.1546.51%Min

2.2344.79%Mean

2.2344.84%Median

2.3143.29%Max

Consensus probabilities

40.35%2.479Min

41.88%2.388Max

40.75%2.454Mean

40.70%2.457Median

40.75%2.454IQM

40.74%2.455Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.31 under the IQM model: 40.75%

EV -5.86%Edge -2.54%Kelly -4.48%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Odds

2.9034.48%Min

2.9733.64%Mean

2.9533.90%Median

3.1032.26%Max

Consensus probabilities

30.35%3.295Min

31.10%3.215Max

30.71%3.256Mean

30.77%3.250Median

30.71%3.256IQM

30.74%3.253Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.10 under the IQM model: 30.71%

EV -4.80%Edge -1.55%Kelly -2.29%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds

3.1032.26%Min

3.2031.26%Mean

3.1531.75%Median

3.4029.41%Max

Consensus probabilities

27.72%3.608Min

28.73%3.480Max

28.54%3.504Mean

28.53%3.505Median

28.54%3.504IQM

28.53%3.505Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.40 under the IQM model: 28.54%

EV -2.97%Edge -0.874%Kelly -1.24%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (24 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	York City (Local) ▼	Bristol Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin	Updated
1xBet	2.31I 43.29% NM 40.35%EV -5.86% E -2.54% K -4.48% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 31.07%EV -7.87% E -2.62% K -3.93% G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67% NM 28.59%EV -6.97% E -2.14% K -3.08% G +0.000%	7.3%	2026-07-05 02:10
betfred_uk	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.35%EV -6.27% E -2.73% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.68%EV -4.80% E -1.55% K -2.29% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.97%EV -2.97% E -0.874% K -1.24% G +0.000%	5.1%	2026-06-30 05:49
Marathon Bet	2.29I 43.67% NM 40.47%EV -6.68% E -2.92% K -5.18% G +0.000%	2.98I 33.56% NM 31.10%EV -8.48% E -2.85% K -4.28% G +0.000%	3.26I 30.67% NM 28.43%EV -6.97% E -2.14% K -3.08% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-05 02:05
Betr (AU)	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.88%EV -8.31% E -3.69% K -6.65% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 30.40%EV -4.80% E -1.55% K -2.29% G +0.000%	3.40I 29.41% NM 27.72%EV -2.97% E -0.874% K -1.24% G +0.000%	6.1%	2026-06-30 05:49
Bet Right	2.25I 44.44% NM 40.94%EV -8.31% E -3.69% K -6.65% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.71%EV -7.87% E -2.62% K -3.93% G +0.000%	3.25I 30.77% NM 28.35%EV -7.25% E -2.23% K -3.22% G +0.000%	8.5%	2026-06-30 05:49
Svenska Spel	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)	2.23I 44.84% NM 40.59%EV -9.12% E -4.09% K -7.42% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.68%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.73%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	10.5%	2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)	2.21I 45.25% NM 41.20%EV -9.94% E -4.50% K -8.21% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.35%EV -7.87% E -2.62% K -3.93% G +0.000%	3.20I 31.25% NM 28.45%EV -8.68% E -2.71% K -3.94% G +0.000%	9.8%	2026-06-30 05:49
SportsBet	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.67%EV -10.35% E -4.70% K -8.62% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.56%EV -7.87% E -2.62% K -3.93% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -5.82% E -1.76% K -2.53% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power	2.20I 45.45% NM 41.67%EV -10.35% E -4.70% K -8.62% G +0.000%	3.00I 33.33% NM 30.56%EV -7.87% E -2.62% K -3.93% G +0.000%	3.30I 30.30% NM 27.78%EV -5.82% E -1.76% K -2.53% G +0.000%	9.1%	2026-06-30 06:09
LeoVegas	2.20I 45.45% NM 40.91%EV -10.35% E -4.70% K -8.62% G +0.000%	2.95I 33.90% NM 30.51%EV -9.41% E -3.19% K -4.82% G +0.000%	3.15I 31.75% NM 28.57%EV -10.11% E -3.21% K -4.70% G +0.000%	11.1%	2026-07-02 10:19
Sky Bet	2.15I 46.51% NM 41.07%EV -12.38% E -5.76% K -10.77% G +0.000%	2.90I 34.48% NM 30.45%EV -10.94% E -3.77% K -5.76% G +0.000%	3.10I 32.26% NM 28.48%EV -11.53% E -3.72% K -5.49% G +0.000%	13.3%	2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.10I 47.62% NM 40.68%EV -14.42% E -6.87% K -13.11% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -11.56% E -4.01% K -6.15% G +0.000%	2.88I 34.72% NM 29.66%EV -17.81% E -6.18% K -9.47% G +0.000%	17.1%	2026-06-30 05:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

Bookmaker	York City (Local)	Bristol Rovers (Visit)	Draw	Margin ▲	Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.04I 96.15%	1.04I 96.15%	1.02I 98.04%	190.3%	2026-06-30 15:20