Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

York City v Bristol Rovers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

York City (Local)

Prediction 41.43%2.41fair odd
EV -4.29%
Edge -1.86%
Kelly -3.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.79%41.47%41.48%42.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.232.252.3146.73%44.75%44.44%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Bristol Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 29.99%3.33fair odd
EV -2.52%
Edge -0.777%
Kelly -1.12%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.76%29.94%30.07%31.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.083.103.2534.48%32.50%32.26%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.57%3.50fair odd
EV +0.008%
Edge +0.002%
Kelly +0.003%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.33%28.59%28.45%29.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.253.203.5032.26%30.75%31.25%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: York City (Local): 41.43%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 29.99%; Draw: 28.57%. For Draw, that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.4997. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 3.5000, producing a positive expected value of +0.008%.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.89%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.78%EV -13.02%E -4.49%K -6.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.33%EV +0.008%E +0.002%K +0.003%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 14:04
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.70%E -2.04%K -3.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-14 10:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 11:29
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -2.85%E -0.838%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-14 14:05
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-14 14:04
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.52%E -2.79%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:05
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.51%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.62%EV -8.52%E -2.79%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.88%EV -4.28%E -1.28%K -1.82%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-14 14:04
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.04%EV -4.29%E -1.86%K -3.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.58%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 28.38%EV -4.56%E -1.37%K -1.95%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-14 14:34
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -6.42%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 10:13
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -6.42%E -2.06%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-14 10:14
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-14 11:28
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 14:03
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:08
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-14 10:10
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -11.52%E -3.91%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -5.71%E -1.73%K -2.48%G +0.000%9.7%2026-08-14 10:09
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.48%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -2.52%E -0.777%K -1.12%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.76%EV -7.13%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-01 09:50
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.13%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:09
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.13%E -2.20%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-14 10:09
1xBet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 15:24
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 17:10
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 17:09
BetUS🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 40.85%EV -5.53%E -2.43%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.04%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.11%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-14 17:09
Fanatics🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 40.98%EV -6.36%E -2.81%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.07%EV -7.62%E -2.48%K -3.67%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.94%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-14 16:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.60%E -3.41%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-09 13:05
LeoVegas🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 10:04
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.51%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.94%EV -8.52%E -2.79%K -4.16%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.54%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-14 14:05
theScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -8.56%E -2.68%K -3.89%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-14 10:09
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.28%EV -10.92%E -5.08%K -9.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -5.52%E -1.75%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-01 09:54
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.85%E -4.02%K -7.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -9.99%E -3.17%K -4.65%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-14 14:04
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -6.77%E -3.01%K -5.42%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -7.02%E -2.27%K -3.34%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.61%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-14 12:29
Virgin Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.33%E -5.30%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:04
LiveScore Bet🎯2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.33%E -5.30%K -9.94%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -10.02%E -3.34%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -11.42%E -3.68%K -5.44%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-09 13:05
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.32%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.74%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%1.6%2026-08-14 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-08-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-08-14 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-08-14 16:30
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.52%3.20I 31.25%NM 30.64%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.84%2.0%2026-08-14 17:10

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