Language:English
York City v Bristol Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
York City (Local)
Prediction 41.57%2.41fair odd
EV -4.40%
Edge -1.91%
Kelly -3.38%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.94%41.55%41.61%42.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.142.232.232.3046.73%44.86%44.84%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Bristol Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 30.27%3.30fair odd
EV -2.24%
Edge -0.693%
Kelly -1.00%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.23
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.92%30.29%30.20%31.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.073.103.2333.33%32.55%32.26%30.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.17%3.55fair odd
EV -1.42%
Edge -0.404%
Kelly -0.566%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.61%28.16%28.18%29.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.273.303.5032.26%30.56%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: York City (Local): 41.57%; Bristol Rovers (Visit): 30.27%; Draw: 28.17%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.55. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -1.42%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.01%EV -5.64%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.66%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -1.70%E -0.486%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.15%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.15%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -2.24%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.78%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -6.78%E -2.20%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.42%E -0.404%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.27%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.63%E -4.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.05%E -5.16%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.05%E -5.16%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |