Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.23
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: York City (Local): 41.57%; Bristol Rovers (Visitante): 30.27%; Empate: 28.17%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.55. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.50, con un valor esperado de -1.42%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.35%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.68%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 09:59 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.01%EV -5.64%E -2.49%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.11I 32.15%NM 30.66%EV -5.87%E -1.89%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 3.49I 28.65%NM 27.33%EV -1.70%E -0.486%K -0.682%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-15 12:00 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.15%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:23 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.93%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.48%EV -3.15%E -0.984%K -1.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.59%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-15 13:23 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 11:34 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:18 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:14 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 07:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -4.23%E -1.24%K -1.76%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.12%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.84%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 10:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -8.46%E -2.60%K -3.76%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-08-15 09:54 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.70%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.23I 30.96%NM 28.92%EV -2.24%E -0.693%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 3.18I 31.45%NM 29.38%EV -10.43%E -3.28%K -4.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:19 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.61%EV -6.89%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.56%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.82%EV -5.64%E -1.68%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-08-15 12:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.39%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.77%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.84%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.78%EV -7.72%E -3.48%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.11%EV -6.78%E -2.20%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.11%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -1.42%E -0.404%K -0.566%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -6.17%E -1.99%K -2.94%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-15 13:48 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:04 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:03 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -7.05%E -2.14%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 11:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -7.69%E -2.52%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -11.27%E -3.58%K -5.24%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 10:09 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.55%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -10.63%E -4.95%K -9.25%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -9.87%E -3.08%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-08-15 09:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.05%E -5.16%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:04 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 41.60%EV -11.05%E -5.16%K -9.69%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.68%EV -9.20%E -3.07%K -4.60%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.72%EV -12.68%E -4.09%K -6.04%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-09 13:05 |
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.15% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.60% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.25% | 0.5% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.94% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.93% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.12% | 1.0% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.79% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 30.82% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.39% | 1.4% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |