La escuela de los momios

York City v Bristol Rovers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

36 corredores (9 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

York City (Local)

Predicción 40.49%2.47momio equitativo
EV -3.64%
Ventaja -1.53%
Kelly -2.63%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.81%40.63%40.34%41.72%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.202.262.252.3845.45%44.18%44.44%42.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Predicción 31.02%3.22momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%30.92%31.21%32.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.90%33.90%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.49%3.51momio equitativo
EV -3.13%
Ventaja -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.68%28.46%28.44%28.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.233.203.4032.26%31.01%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (36 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -3.64%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 14:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 07:19
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.36%EV -7.87%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -6.47%E -2.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 10:54
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 19:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 00:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 20:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 08:34
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 07:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:34
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 07:18
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.20%EV -10.52%E -4.76%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 05:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 10:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%12.8%2026-07-23 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20