L’École des cotes

York City v Bristol Rovers

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Résultat du match

36 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

York City (Local)

Prévision 40.49%2.47cote équitable
EV -3.64%
Avantage -1.53%
Kelly -2.63%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.81%40.63%40.34%41.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.202.262.252.3845.45%44.18%44.44%42.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bristol Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 31.02%3.22cote équitable
EV -3.84%
Avantage -1.24%
Kelly -1.83%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.60%30.92%31.21%32.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.802.952.953.1035.71%33.90%33.90%32.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 28.49%3.51cote équitable
EV -3.13%
Avantage -0.920%
Kelly -1.30%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
27.68%28.46%28.44%28.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.233.203.4032.26%31.01%31.25%29.41%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (36 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 40.11%EV -3.64%E -1.53%K -2.63%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.07%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-23 14:50
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 40.21%EV -4.04%E -1.70%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.76%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.03%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-22 10:54
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -4.85%E -2.06%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.02%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.78%EV -3.13%E -0.920%K -1.30%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-23 07:19
1xBet2.33I 42.92%NM 39.98%EV -5.66%E -2.43%K -4.26%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 31.36%EV -7.87%E -2.65%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.66%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-20 19:40
Marathon Bet2.31I 43.29%NM 40.10%EV -6.47%E -2.80%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.40%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.50%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 19:40
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 09:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.59%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.12%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-22 10:54
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.38%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.48%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.14%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-22 10:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.16%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.85%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.99%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Right2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -11.60%E -4.07%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-23 07:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 19:39
betano_uk2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 19:40
Fanatics2.30I 43.48%NM 39.81%EV -6.87%E -2.99%K -5.29%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-17 00:15
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-13 20:09
Bovada2.25I 44.44%NM 40.73%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.07%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.20%EV -7.40%E -2.28%K -3.29%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-24 08:34
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-23 07:20
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.69%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.57%EV -10.05%E -3.46%K -5.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-22 09:34
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.60%EV -8.90%E -3.95%K -7.12%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.72%EV -10.67%E -3.70%K -5.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.68%EV -5.98%E -1.81%K -2.60%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-23 07:18
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 40.59%EV -9.71%E -4.35%K -7.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.68%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.5%2026-06-30 11:29
Codere (IT)2.21I 45.25%NM 41.20%EV -10.52%E -4.76%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -6.94%E -2.31%K -3.47%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.45%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-06-30 05:49
Tipico (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -3.84%E -1.24%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -8.83%E -2.76%K -4.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-19 19:25
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 40.91%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.51%EV -8.49%E -2.88%K -4.36%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.57%EV -10.25%E -3.25%K -4.77%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-02 10:19
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.07%EV -10.92%E -4.97%K -9.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.49%EV -13.15%E -4.70%K -7.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -11.68%E -3.77%K -5.56%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-23 07:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.22I 45.05%NM 39.95%2.78I 35.97%NM 31.90%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.15%12.8%2026-07-23 07:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20