StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Matchstart: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

51 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Swindon Town (Hemma)

Prognos 31.18%3.21rättvist odds
EV -2.71%
Fördel -0.869%
Kelly -1.28%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.12

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.96%31.18%31.18%33.01%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.752.932.953.1236.36%34.08%33.90%32.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Milton Keynes Dons (Borta)

Prognos 41.26%2.42rättvist odds
EV -3.45%
Fördel -1.47%
Kelly -2.57%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.34

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.40%41.31%41.24%43.65%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.102.262.252.3447.62%44.26%44.44%42.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.56%3.63rättvist odds
EV -0.799%
Fördel -0.222%
Kelly -0.307%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.60

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.03%27.51%27.58%28.82%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.96%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Swindon Town (Hemma): 31.18%; Milton Keynes Dons (Borta): 41.26%; Oavgjort: 27.56%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.63. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.60, med väntevärdet -0.799%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (51 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
1xBet🎯3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.869%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -6.75%E -2.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -10.17%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.29%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle🎯3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:43
Betr (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Coolbet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
theScore Bet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:30
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:00
NordicBet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Marathon Bet🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Right🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Bovada🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:38
Codere (IT)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:29
SportsBet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.13%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
BetRivers🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
TABtouch🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Unibet (NL)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Casumo🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Grosvenor🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
ATG (SE)🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
betPARX🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Svenska Spel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
LiveScore Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-14 14:55