La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 31.18%3.21momio equitativo
EV -2.71%
Ventaja -0.869%
Kelly -1.28%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.12
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.96%31.18%31.18%33.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.932.953.1236.36%34.08%33.90%32.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)
Predicción 41.26%2.42momio equitativo
EV -3.45%
Ventaja -1.47%
Kelly -2.57%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.34
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.40%41.31%41.24%43.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.262.252.3447.62%44.26%44.44%42.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.56%3.63momio equitativo
EV -0.799%
Ventaja -0.222%
Kelly -0.307%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.03%27.51%27.58%28.82%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.96%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.869%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -6.75%E -2.99%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -10.17%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Coral | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-03-14 14:20 |
| Unibet (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.29%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-03-14 04:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Neds | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetMGM | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| DraftKings | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-03-14 14:40 |
| Pinnacle | 3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| LowVig.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| BetOnline.ag | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Bet Victor | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-03-14 14:43 |
| Betr (AU) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Paddy Power | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:34 |
| Coolbet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| theScore Bet | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| 888sport | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:30 |
| William Hill | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Fanatics | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-03-13 16:00 |
| NordicBet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betsson | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 12:05 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Bet Right | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-03-14 14:15 |
| Bovada | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:53 |
| BetUS | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Sky Bet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Everygame | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-03-14 14:38 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-03-14 04:29 |
| SportsBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Betway | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| BoyleSports | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-03-14 14:34 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.14%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| PlayUp | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.13%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-03-14 14:35 |
| Unibet | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| BetRivers | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| TABtouch | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| Casumo | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| Grosvenor | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| betPARX | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-03-13 14:45 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| LeoVegas | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-03-13 14:44 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |
| Matchbook | 3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31% | 0.3% | 2026-03-14 14:50 |
| Smarkets | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36% | 1.5% | 2026-03-14 14:55 |