A Escola das Odds

Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Início: 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Swindon Town (Local)

Previsão 31.18%3.21odd justa
EV -2.71%
Vantagem -0.869%
Kelly -1.28%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.12

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
29.96%31.18%31.18%33.01%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.752.932.953.1236.36%34.08%33.90%32.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Milton Keynes Dons (Visitante)

Previsão 41.26%2.42odd justa
EV -3.45%
Vantagem -1.47%
Kelly -2.57%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.34

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
39.40%41.31%41.24%43.65%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.102.262.252.3447.62%44.26%44.44%42.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.56%3.63odd justa
EV -0.799%
Vantagem -0.222%
Kelly -0.307%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
26.03%27.51%27.58%28.82%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.96%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.869%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -6.75%E -2.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -10.17%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.29%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:43
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:38
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:29
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.13%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-14 14:55