L’École des cotes

Swindon Town v Milton Keynes Dons

Coup d’envoi : 2026-03-14 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Swindon Town (Local)

Prévision 31.18%3.21cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -0.869%
Kelly -1.28%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.12

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.96%31.18%31.18%33.01%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.932.953.1236.36%34.08%33.90%32.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Milton Keynes Dons (Visiteur)

Prévision 41.26%2.42cote équitable
EV -3.45%
Avantage -1.47%
Kelly -2.57%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.34

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
39.40%41.31%41.24%43.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.262.252.3447.62%44.26%44.44%42.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.56%3.63cote équitable
EV -0.799%
Avantage -0.222%
Kelly -0.307%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.03%27.51%27.58%28.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.343.303.6033.33%29.96%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet3.12I 32.05%NM 29.96%EV -2.71%E -0.869%K -1.28%G +0.000%2.26I 44.25%NM 41.36%EV -6.75%E -2.99%K -5.36%G +0.000%3.26I 30.67%NM 28.68%EV -10.17%E -3.12%K -4.50%G +0.000%7.0%2026-03-14 14:50
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.1%2026-03-14 14:20
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -11.29%E -5.25%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.5%2026-03-14 04:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -3.34%E -1.08%K -1.59%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-03-14 12:05
DraftKings3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -4.89%E -1.60%K -2.39%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.31%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.54%EV -4.93%E -1.43%K -2.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-03-14 14:40
Pinnacle3.04I 32.89%NM 31.42%EV -5.21%E -1.71%K -2.55%G +0.000%2.34I 42.74%NM 40.82%EV -3.45%E -1.47%K -2.57%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.76%EV -5.21%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.7%2026-03-14 14:55
LowVig.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
BetOnline.ag3.00I 33.33%NM 31.75%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 41.78%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.46%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%5.0%2026-03-14 12:05
Bet Victor3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-03-14 14:43
Betr (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Paddy Power3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:34
Coolbet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-03-14 14:15
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.2%2026-03-14 14:15
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:30
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -11.82%E -3.69%K -5.37%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:35
Fanatics3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -6.45%E -2.15%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.1%2026-03-13 16:00
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.28%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 40.89%EV -5.92%E -2.60%K -4.63%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Marathon Bet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.10%EV -7.08%E -2.37%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.27I 44.05%NM 40.82%EV -6.33%E -2.79%K -4.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%7.9%2026-03-14 14:50
PointsBet (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 12:05
Tipico (DE)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.31%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.8%2026-03-14 14:35
Bet Right2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.69%E -2.29%K -3.27%G +0.000%9.2%2026-03-14 14:15
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:53
BetUS2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -8.01%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:55
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.32%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.65%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -0.799%E -0.222%K -0.307%G +0.000%6.7%2026-03-14 14:50
Everygame2.90I 34.48%NM 31.43%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.52%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.05%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.7%2026-03-14 14:38
Codere (IT)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.22I 45.05%NM 41.01%EV -8.40%E -3.78%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%9.8%2026-03-14 04:29
SportsBet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -9.57%E -3.30%K -5.04%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.2%2026-03-14 14:35
Betway2.88I 34.72%NM 31.86%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.90%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%9.0%2026-03-14 14:55
BoyleSports2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -9.22%E -4.19%K -7.69%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.5%2026-03-14 14:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.02%EV -10.20%E -3.54%K -5.42%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 41.17%EV -13.35%E -6.36%K -12.14%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.82%EV -17.33%E -5.78%K -8.67%G +0.000%15.7%2026-03-14 14:55
PlayUp2.85I 35.09%NM 31.81%EV -11.13%E -3.91%K -6.02%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.29%EV -7.16%E -3.18%K -5.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.90%EV -10.44%E -3.21%K -4.64%G +0.000%10.3%2026-03-14 14:35
Unibet2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
BetRivers2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
TABtouch2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Unibet (NL)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Unibet (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Casumo2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
Grosvenor2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
ATG (SE)2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
betPARX2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:44
Svenska Spel2.80I 35.71%NM 32.78%EV -12.69%E -4.53%K -7.05%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 39.40%EV -3.86%E -1.66%K -2.90%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.82%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%8.9%2026-03-13 14:45
LiveScore Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
LeoVegas2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Virgin Bet2.75I 36.36%NM 33.01%EV -14.25%E -5.18%K -8.14%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.47%EV -5.10%E -2.22%K -3.92%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -9.07%E -2.75%K -3.94%G +0.000%10.1%2026-03-13 14:44
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:55
Matchbook3.20I 31.25%NM 31.15%2.40I 41.67%NM 41.54%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.31%0.3%2026-03-14 14:50
Smarkets3.15I 31.75%NM 31.26%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.38%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.36%1.5%2026-03-14 14:55