The School of Odds
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Swindon Town v Grimsby Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (8 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Swindon Town (Local)

Prediction 26.83%3.73fair odd
EV -0.464%
Edge -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.71

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.04%27.35%26.98%31.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.903.293.303.7134.48%30.43%30.30%26.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visit)

Prediction 49.00%2.04fair odd
EV +5.36%
Edge +2.49%
Kelly +4.66%
Growth +0.249%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.45%48.36%48.90%51.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.801.941.912.1555.56%51.50%52.36%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.17%4.14fair odd
EV -3.33%
Edge -0.832%
Kelly -1.11%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.46%24.29%24.12%26.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.74%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Swindon Town (Local): 26.83%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 49.00%; Draw: 24.17%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.04. 5 bookmakers offer odds above that level; the best available odds are 2.15, producing a positive expected value of +5.36%.

Sportsbook Odds (22 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 16:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV +0.456%E +0.222%K +0.434%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-06 18:16
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -1.99%E -0.997%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 17:55
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.48%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.36%EV -0.464%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -9.83%E -5.35%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.33%E -0.832%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-06 18:50
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-06 16:19
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.27%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%16.2%2026-11-06 16:10
Arbitrage (112 combinations) +1.56%Pinnacle 3.71 (27.4%) / William Hill 2.15 (47.2%) / Pinnacle 4.00 (25.4%)Show all 112 combinations
Swindon Town (Local)Grimsby Town (Visit)DrawMargin
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%

Showing 50 of 112 combinations

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