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Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
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Swindon Town v Grimsby Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

Resultado del partido

23 corredores (8 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Swindon Town (Local)

Predicción 26.83%3.73momio equitativo
EV -0.464%
Ventaja -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.71

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.04%27.35%26.98%31.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.903.293.303.7134.48%30.43%30.30%26.95%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 49.00%2.04momio equitativo
EV +5.36%
Ventaja +2.49%
Kelly +4.66%
Crecimiento +0.249%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.15

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.45%48.36%48.90%51.13%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.801.941.912.1555.56%51.50%52.36%46.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 24.17%4.14momio equitativo
EV -3.33%
Ventaja -0.832%
Kelly -1.11%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.46%24.29%24.12%26.08%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.74%26.67%25.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Swindon Town (Local): 26.83%; Grimsby Town (Visitante): 49.00%; Empate: 24.17%. Para Grimsby Town (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.04. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.15, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.36%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (23 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 16:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV +0.456%E +0.222%K +0.434%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-06 18:16
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -1.99%E -0.997%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 17:55
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.48%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.36%EV -0.464%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -9.83%E -5.35%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.33%E -0.832%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-06 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-06 19:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-06 16:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (1)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.27%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%16.2%2026-11-06 16:10
Arbitraje (112 combinaciones) +1.56%Pinnacle 3.71 (27.4%) / William Hill 2.15 (47.2%) / Pinnacle 4.00 (25.4%)Ver las 112 combinaciones
Swindon Town (Local)Grimsby Town (Visitante)EmpateMargen
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%

Mostrando 50 de 112 combinaciones

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