L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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Swindon Town v Grimsby Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

Résultat du match

23 opérateurs (8 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Swindon Town (Local)

Prévision 26.83%3.73cote équitable
EV -0.464%
Avantage -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.71

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.04%27.35%26.98%31.70%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.903.293.303.7134.48%30.43%30.30%26.95%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 49.00%2.04cote équitable
EV +5.36%
Avantage +2.49%
Kelly +4.66%
Croissance +0.249%

avec la cote maximale 2.15

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.45%48.36%48.90%51.13%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.801.941.912.1555.56%51.50%52.36%46.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.17%4.14cote équitable
EV -3.33%
Avantage -0.832%
Kelly -1.11%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.46%24.29%24.12%26.08%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.74%26.67%25.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Pour Résultat du match, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estime les probabilités suivantes : Swindon Town (Local) : 26.83% ; Grimsby Town (Visiteur) : 49.00% ; Match nul : 24.17%. Pour Grimsby Town (Visiteur), cette estimation équivaut à une cote décimale juste de 2.04. 5 opérateurs proposent une cote supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure cote disponible est 2.15, pour une espérance positive de +5.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (23 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 16:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV +0.456%E +0.222%K +0.434%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-06 18:16
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -1.99%E -0.997%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 17:55
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.48%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.36%EV -0.464%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -9.83%E -5.35%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.33%E -0.832%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-06 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-06 19:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-06 16:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (1)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.27%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%16.2%2026-11-06 16:10
Arbitrage (112 combinaisons) +1.56%Pinnacle 3.71 (27.4%) / William Hill 2.15 (47.2%) / Pinnacle 4.00 (25.4%)Afficher les 112 combinaisons
Swindon Town (Local)Grimsby Town (Visiteur)Match nulMarge
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%

50 combinaisons affichées sur 112

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