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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Swindon Town v Grimsby Town

2026-11-14 15:00 UTC — League 2

胜负盘

23 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Swindon Town (主队)

预测 26.83%3.73公平赔率
EV -0.464%
优势 -0.125%
Kelly -0.171%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 3.71

博彩公司预测分布
25.04%27.35%26.98%31.70%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.903.293.303.7134.48%30.43%30.30%26.95%最小值均值中位数最大值

Grimsby Town (客队)

预测 49.00%2.04公平赔率
EV +5.36%
优势 +2.49%
Kelly +4.66%
增长率 +0.249%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
42.45%48.36%48.90%51.13%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.941.912.1555.56%51.50%52.36%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 24.17%4.14公平赔率
EV -3.33%
优势 -0.832%
Kelly -1.11%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 4.00

博彩公司预测分布
23.46%24.29%24.12%26.08%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.503.743.754.0028.57%26.74%26.67%25.00%最小值均值中位数最大值

对于胜负盘，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)估计各选项的概率为：Swindon Town (主队)：26.83%；Grimsby Town (客队)：49.00%；平局：24.17%。 对于“Grimsby Town (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.04。 有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的赔率；当前最佳赔率为2.15，由此产生+5.36%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (23 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.70%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.76%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%8.8%2026-11-06 16:05
888sport🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -22.20%E -7.65%K -11.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV +5.36%E +2.49%K +4.66%G +0.249%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -15.41%E -4.40%K -6.16%G +0.000%9.6%2026-11-06 17:54
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.99%EV +0.456%E +0.222%K +0.434%G +0.002%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.27%EV -11.79%E -3.23%K -4.45%G +0.000%8.4%2026-11-06 18:16
picklebet_au🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -14.15%E -4.42%K -6.43%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.33%EV -1.99%E -0.997%K -1.99%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.71%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.48%EV -16.83%E -5.43%K -8.01%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.15%EV -2.97%E -1.50%K -3.04%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.37%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.4%2026-11-06 16:10
Betr (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 18:24
betfred_uk🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.30%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.17%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.53%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.7%2026-11-06 18:25
LeoVegas🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.95%EV -19.51%E -6.50%K -9.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.08%EV -4.44%E -2.28%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.96%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.3%2026-11-06 16:19
Bet Right🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.30%EV -4.93%E -2.54%K -5.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.47%EV -9.37%E -2.50%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.0%2026-11-06 18:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.40%E -3.35%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -5.74%E -1.47%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-11-06 17:55
1xBet🎯3.52I 28.41%NM 26.33%EV -5.56%E -1.58%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.03%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.65%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 18:20
Fanatics🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.07%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.70%EV -7.38%E -3.91%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 17:59
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.30%EV -6.10%E -1.74%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.76I 26.60%NM 24.48%EV -9.13%E -2.43%K -3.31%G +0.000%8.6%2026-11-06 18:20
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:54
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -8.78%E -2.58%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -8.36%E -4.47%K -9.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%9.2%2026-11-06 17:55
Pinnacle🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.36%EV -0.464%E -0.125%K -0.171%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.13%EV -9.83%E -5.35%K -11.71%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.52%EV -3.33%E -0.832%K -1.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-11-06 17:55
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.80%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.14%EV -10.58%E -2.86%K -3.92%G +0.000%12.0%2026-11-06 18:50
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.94%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -10.32%E -5.64%K -12.44%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -12.99%E -3.61%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-11-06 19:00
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.04%EV -0.732%E -0.198%K -0.271%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.90%EV -10.81%E -5.94%K -13.19%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.06%EV -6.95%E -1.81%K -2.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-11-06 16:10
BoyleSports🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.01%EV -11.46%E -3.47%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.53%EV -11.79%E -6.55%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.46%EV -8.16%E -2.15%K -2.91%G +0.000%12.2%2026-11-06 16:19
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (1)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Smarkets◎2.94I 34.01%NM 29.27%1.88I 53.19%NM 45.78%3.45I 28.99%NM 24.95%16.2%2026-11-06 16:10
套利（112 种组合） +1.56%Pinnacle 3.71 (27.4%) / William Hill 2.15 (47.2%) / Pinnacle 4.00 (25.4%)显示全部 112 种组合
Swindon Town (主队)Grimsby Town (客队)平局利润率
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.56%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.4%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (47.2%)Pinnacle🎯 4.00 (25.4%)+1.48%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.2%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.901%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betr (AU)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Betsson🎯 3.70 (27.3%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.9%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 3.90 (25.9%)+0.827%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
Pinnacle🎯 3.71 (27.1%)Mr Green (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.8%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.563%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)William Hill🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)NordicBet🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%
NordicBet🎯 3.70 (27.2%)888sport (SE)🎯 2.15 (46.7%)Betsson🎯 3.85 (26.1%)+0.490%

共 112 种组合，当前显示 50 种

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