A Escola das Odds

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers

Início: 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

43 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Swindon Town (Local)

Previsão 48.31%2.07odd justa
EV -3.38%
Vantagem -1.69%
Kelly -3.38%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.89%48.28%48.20%49.89%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.61%52.36%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Bristol Rovers (Visitante)

Previsão 25.05%3.99odd justa
EV -2.32%
Vantagem -0.594%
Kelly -0.799%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.90

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.03%25.03%25.09%26.92%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.403.733.753.9029.41%26.83%26.67%25.64%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 26.64%3.75odd justa
EV -3.81%
Vantagem -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.61

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.74%26.69%26.71%27.80%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.103.463.503.6132.26%28.94%28.57%27.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (43 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 09:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:05
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.94%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.57%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:59
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:19
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 09:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.70%E -4.60%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.66%E -5.17%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.63%E -5.75%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:05
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -11.11%E -6.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 12:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.40%E -5.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-02-28 12:06