مدرسة الاحتمالات

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers

البداية: 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

43 شركة مراهنات (16 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Swindon Town (المضيف)

التنبؤ 48.31%2.07السعر العادل
EV -3.38%
الأفضلية -1.69%
Kelly -3.38%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.00

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
46.89%48.28%48.20%49.89%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.61%52.36%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Bristol Rovers (الضيف)

التنبؤ 25.05%3.99السعر العادل
EV -2.32%
الأفضلية -0.594%
Kelly -0.799%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.90

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
24.03%25.03%25.09%26.92%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.403.733.753.9029.41%26.83%26.67%25.64%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 26.64%3.75السعر العادل
EV -3.81%
الأفضلية -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.61

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
25.74%26.69%26.71%27.80%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.103.463.503.6132.26%28.94%28.57%27.70%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (43 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 09:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:05
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.94%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.57%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:59
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:19
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 09:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.70%E -4.60%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.66%E -5.17%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.63%E -5.75%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:05
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -11.11%E -6.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 12:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.40%E -5.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-02-28 12:06