L’École des cotes

Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Swindon Town (Local)

Prévision 48.31%2.07cote équitable
EV -3.38%
Avantage -1.69%
Kelly -3.38%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.89%48.28%48.20%49.89%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.61%52.36%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Bristol Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 25.05%3.99cote équitable
EV -2.32%
Avantage -0.594%
Kelly -0.799%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.03%25.03%25.09%26.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.403.733.753.9029.41%26.83%26.67%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.64%3.75cote équitable
EV -3.81%
Avantage -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.74%26.69%26.71%27.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.463.503.6132.26%28.94%28.57%27.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.2%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:20
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:20
Neds1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000%7.4%2026-02-28 11:20
Pinnacle1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000%3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.1%2026-02-28 12:20
BetOnline.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
LowVig.ag1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%5.5%2026-02-28 11:20
DraftKings1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 11:20
Unibet (UK)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 09:04
Bet Victor1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 11:19
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 12:05
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 11:20
1xBet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.94%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Coolbet1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.57%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 08:59
Betsson1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
NordicBet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 09:35
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-02-28 12:20
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.1%2026-02-28 12:20
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
BetUS1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:20
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 08:59
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-28 11:19
Codere (IT)1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%9.9%2026-02-28 09:04
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:59
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Marathon Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.70%E -4.60%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:20
Tipico (DE)1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.66%E -5.17%K -11.11%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%8.4%2026-02-28 12:20
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.63%E -5.75%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 12:05
Unibet1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -11.11%E -6.04%K -13.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.2%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (NL)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Grosvenor1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-26 18:00
TABtouch1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Unibet (SE)1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
Casumo1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BetRivers1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%9.5%2026-02-27 21:44
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 12:06
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.40%E -5.61%K -8.29%G +0.000%16.3%2026-02-28 12:20
LeoVegas1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
Virgin Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
LiveScore Bet1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 18:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Matchbook2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78%0.9%2026-02-28 12:20
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76%2.4%2026-02-28 12:06