Idioma:Español
Swindon Town v Bristol Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Swindon Town (Local)
Predicción 48.31%2.07momio equitativo
EV -3.38%
Ventaja -1.69%
Kelly -3.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.89%48.28%48.20%49.89%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.821.901.912.0054.95%52.61%52.36%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Bristol Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 25.05%3.99momio equitativo
EV -2.32%
Ventaja -0.594%
Kelly -0.799%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.90
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.03%25.03%25.09%26.92%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.403.733.753.9029.41%26.83%26.67%25.64%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 26.64%3.75momio equitativo
EV -3.81%
Ventaja -1.06%
Kelly -1.46%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.61
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.74%26.69%26.71%27.80%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.463.503.6132.26%28.94%28.57%27.70%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Swindon Town (Local): 48.31%; Bristol Rovers (Visitante): 25.05%; Empate: 26.64%. Para Bristol Rovers (Visitante), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.99. Ningún corredor elegible ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel: los mejores fueron 3.90, con un valor esperado de -2.32%; no produjeron valor esperado positivo.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (43 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.34%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.98%EV -3.38%E -1.69%K -3.38%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.39%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.23%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.27%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.50%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.35%E -2.20%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -10.74%E -3.21%K -4.57%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.80%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.84%EV -4.07%E -1.06%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 3.61I 27.70%NM 26.36%EV -3.81%E -1.06%K -1.46%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.61%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.31%EV -2.32%E -0.594%K -0.799%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.16%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.38%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.46%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.03%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.82%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 11:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -5.80%E -2.97%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -12.07%E -3.66%K -5.25%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 11:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.48%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.02%EV -6.33%E -1.69%K -2.31%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 26.51%EV -5.94%E -1.68%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.33%EV -6.76%E -3.50%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.23%EV -3.57%E -0.927%K -1.25%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 09:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.55%EV -7.25%E -3.77%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.19%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.26%EV -5.41%E -1.52%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 09:35 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.02%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.97%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.01%EV -4.08%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.44%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.35%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.21%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.15%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.20%EV -8.58%E -2.35%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.66%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.12%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.84%EV -7.33%E -1.98%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.79%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.36%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-28 11:19 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.62%EV -7.73%E -4.05%K -8.49%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.62%EV -11.08%E -3.12%K -4.35%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-02-28 09:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:59 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.57%EV -8.21%E -4.32%K -9.13%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.29%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.14%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.00%EV -8.70%E -4.60%K -9.77%G +0.000% | 3.82I 26.18%NM 24.24%EV -4.32%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 26.76%EV -7.81%E -2.26%K -3.17%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.35%EV -9.66%E -5.17%K -11.11%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.28%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.37%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.08%EV -10.63%E -5.75%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.21%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.71%EV -9.41%E -2.77%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 12:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.84I 54.35%NM 49.75%EV -11.11%E -6.04%K -13.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.09%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-26 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -4.82%E -1.27%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-02-27 21:44 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -9.83%E -2.73%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.74%E -1.93%K -2.70%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 46.98%EV -11.59%E -6.34%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.29%EV -14.84%E -4.37%K -6.18%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.73%EV -17.40%E -5.61%K -8.29%G +0.000% | 16.3% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 18:00 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.68%EV -12.08%E -6.64%K -14.73%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -6.08%E -1.62%K -2.21%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.21%EV -8.08%E -2.34%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 18:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.05% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.17% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.78% | 0.9% | 2026-02-28 12:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.83% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.41% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 26.76% | 2.4% | 2026-02-28 12:06 |