Language:English
Salford City v Notts County
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 41.56%2.41fair odd
EV -3.57%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.71%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.32
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.53%41.55%42.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.182.232.232.3245.87%44.81%44.84%43.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Notts County (Visit)
Prediction 30.82%3.24fair odd
EV -4.46%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.12%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.60%30.81%30.85%31.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.48%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.62%3.62fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -0.955%
Kelly -1.34%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.04%27.66%27.60%29.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.96%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 41.56%; Notts County (Visit): 30.82%; Draw: 27.62%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.62. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.50, with an expected value of -3.34%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (50 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.64%EV -4.82%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.40%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -6.07%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 03:14 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.90%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -6.31%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 01:09 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.51% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |