La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Salford City v Notts County
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Salford City (Local)
Predicción 41.56%2.41momio equitativo
EV -3.57%
Ventaja -1.54%
Kelly -2.71%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.32
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.70%41.53%41.55%42.08%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.182.232.232.3245.87%44.81%44.84%43.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Notts County (Visitante)
Predicción 30.82%3.24momio equitativo
EV -4.46%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.12%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.60%30.81%30.85%31.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.48%33.33%32.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.62%3.62momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -0.955%
Kelly -1.34%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.04%27.66%27.60%29.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.96%29.85%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Coral | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BetMGM | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Neds | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 09:50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.29I 43.67%NM 41.64%EV -4.82%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 3.48I 28.74%NM 27.40%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| 1xBet | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -6.07%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000% | 3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Victor | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-03 03:14 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-04-03 12:30 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.90%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -6.31%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-03 13:34 |
| Unibet | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| BetRivers | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Casumo | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Grosvenor | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| betPARX | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-03 04:04 |
| Betsson | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| NordicBet | 2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Paddy Power | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 13:39 |
| theScore Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-01 00:04 |
| Betway | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Fanatics | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 01:09 |
| BetUS | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-03 13:50 |
| Bet Right | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-03 12:15 |
| 888sport | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| PlayUp | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| BoyleSports | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-04-03 13:40 |
| LeoVegas | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-04-03 04:05 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Matchbook | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32% | 0.9% | 2026-04-03 13:35 |
| Smarkets | 2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.51% | 1.7% | 2026-04-03 13:55 |