StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Salford City v Notts County

Matchstart: 2026-04-03 14:00 UTC

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

50 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Salford City (Hemma)

Prognos 41.56%2.41rättvist odds
EV -3.57%
Fördel -1.54%
Kelly -2.71%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.32

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
39.70%41.53%41.55%42.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.182.232.232.3245.87%44.81%44.84%43.10%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Notts County (Borta)

Prognos 30.82%3.24rättvist odds
EV -4.46%
Fördel -1.44%
Kelly -2.12%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.10

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
29.60%30.81%30.85%31.74%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.802.993.003.1035.71%33.48%33.33%32.26%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.62%3.62rättvist odds
EV -3.34%
Fördel -0.955%
Kelly -1.34%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.50

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
27.04%27.66%27.60%29.11%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.343.353.5033.33%29.96%29.85%28.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Salford City (Hemma): 41.56%; Notts County (Borta): 30.82%; Oavgjort: 27.62%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.62. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.50, med väntevärdet -3.34%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (50 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 41.47%EV -3.57%E -1.54%K -2.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.04%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.49%EV -3.34%E -0.955%K -1.34%G +0.000%3.9%2026-04-03 13:34
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.14%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.03%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 09:50
Coral🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.93%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.38%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-03 13:35
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.71%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.74%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:50
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.55%EV -4.40%E -1.91%K -3.39%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.61%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 09:50
Pinnacle🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.64%EV -4.82%E -2.10%K -3.74%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.96%EV -5.08%E -1.65%K -2.44%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.40%EV -3.89%E -1.12%K -1.57%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-03 13:40
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.43%EV -6.07%E -2.68%K -4.81%G +0.000%3.01I 33.22%NM 31.11%EV -7.23%E -2.40%K -3.60%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.46%EV -5.83%E -1.71%K -2.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-03 13:40
Unibet (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.68%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.74%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.58%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 12:15
Coolbet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-03 03:14
William Hill🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.48%E -2.88%K -5.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-03 12:30
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.90%E -3.08%K -5.56%G +0.000%3.04I 32.89%NM 30.50%EV -6.31%E -2.08%K -3.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-03 13:34
Unibet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:04
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
Unibet (NL)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
Unibet (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
TABtouch🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:04
BetRivers🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
Casumo🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
Grosvenor🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
ATG (SE)🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
Svenska Spel🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:05
betPARX🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.29%EV -7.31%E -3.28%K -5.95%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.22%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.49%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-03 04:04
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:35
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 41.83%EV -7.73%E -3.48%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.45%EV -6.00%E -1.97%K -2.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-03 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-03 13:39
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 13:39
theScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-03 12:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.79%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.17%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.04%EV -6.10%E -1.80%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-03 12:15
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -4.46%E -1.44%K -2.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-01 00:04
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
Fanatics🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 01:09
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-03 13:50
Bet Right🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -7.48%E -2.23%K -3.18%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-03 12:15
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.25%E -3.15%K -4.55%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-03 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:40
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.45%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.91%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.63%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-03 13:40
SportsBet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -7.54%E -2.51%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -11.63%E -3.63%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-03 13:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.23%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.28%EV -10.62%E -3.66%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.2%2026-04-03 13:35
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.14%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.43%EV -11.24%E -3.90%K -5.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-03 13:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.56%E -3.89%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -13.70%E -4.89%K -7.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -17.15%E -5.72%K -8.58%G +0.000%14.5%2026-04-03 13:40
LeoVegas🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 04:05
Virgin Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 04:05
LiveScore Bet🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.67%EV -9.39%E -4.31%K -7.96%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.80%EV -9.08%E -3.08%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.53%EV -8.87%E -2.69%K -3.85%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-03 04:05
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.65%3.30I 30.30%NM 30.04%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.32%0.9%2026-04-03 13:35
Smarkets2.36I 42.37%NM 41.68%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.81%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.51%1.7%2026-04-03 13:55