Language:English
Salford City v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Salford City (Local)
Prediction 41.60%2.40fair odd
EV -4.31%
Edge -1.87%
Kelly -3.32%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.70%41.61%41.58%42.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.32%45.45%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 30.03%3.33fair odd
EV -0.897%
Edge -0.272%
Kelly -0.390%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.30
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
28.37%29.99%29.99%31.20%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 28.36%3.53fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -1.05%
Kelly -1.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.18%28.40%28.42%30.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.72%30.77%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Salford City (Local): 41.60%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 30.03%; Draw: 28.36%. For Grimsby Town (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.33. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.30, with an expected value of -0.897%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 12:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 12:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:15 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-15 17:10 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -5.56%E -2.45%K -4.38%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.15%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-15 11:04 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -0.897%E -0.272%K -0.390%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -11.50%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-15 17:59 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-15 05:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-14 18:26 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-15 12:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 14:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 12:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-15 12:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-15 14:54 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 17:24 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 15:19 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 15:25 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -5.70%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.96%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -8.06%E -3.64%K -6.66%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-15 18:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 14:56 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 14:54 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 14:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-05-15 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.91%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 14.5% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-15 15:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-15 17:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-15 18:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 17:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29% | 1.0% | 2026-05-15 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48% | 1.8% | 2026-05-15 18:10 |