مدرسة الاحتمالات

Salford City v Grimsby Town

البداية: 2026-05-15 18:15 UTC

النتيجة النهائية: Salford City 2–2 Grimsby Town

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

49 شركة مراهنات (15 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Salford City (المضيف)

التنبؤ 41.60%2.40السعر العادل
EV -4.31%
الأفضلية -1.87%
Kelly -3.32%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
39.70%41.61%41.58%42.97%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.32%45.45%43.48%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Grimsby Town (الضيف)

التنبؤ 30.03%3.33السعر العادل
EV -0.897%
الأفضلية -0.272%
Kelly -0.390%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.30

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
28.37%29.99%29.99%31.20%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

تعادل

التنبؤ 28.36%3.53السعر العادل
EV -3.56%
الأفضلية -1.05%
Kelly -1.48%
النمو +0.000%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 3.40

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
27.18%28.40%28.42%30.01%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.72%30.77%29.41%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (49 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيف ▼الضيفتعادلالهامشآخر تحديث
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:10
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -5.56%E -2.45%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.15%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 18:05
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -0.897%E -0.272%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -11.50%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 05:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:26
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 12:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 14:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:24
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -5.70%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.96%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -8.06%E -3.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:56
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.91%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-15 17:35
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 17:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (5)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفتعادلالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-05-15 18:10