La escuela de los momios

Salford City v Grimsby Town

Inicio: 2026-05-15 18:15 UTC

Final: Salford City 2–2 Grimsby Town

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Salford City (Local)

Predicción 41.60%2.40momio equitativo
EV -4.31%
Ventaja -1.87%
Kelly -3.32%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.70%41.61%41.58%42.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.32%45.45%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Predicción 30.03%3.33momio equitativo
EV -0.897%
Ventaja -0.272%
Kelly -0.390%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.37%29.99%29.99%31.20%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.36%3.53momio equitativo
EV -3.56%
Ventaja -1.05%
Kelly -1.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.18%28.40%28.42%30.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.72%30.77%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:10
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -5.56%E -2.45%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.15%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 18:05
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -0.897%E -0.272%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -11.50%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 05:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:26
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 12:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 14:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:24
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -5.70%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.96%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -8.06%E -3.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:56
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.91%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-15 17:35
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 17:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-05-15 18:10