La scuola delle quote

Salford City v Grimsby Town

Inizio: 2026-05-15 18:15 UTC

Finale: Salford City 2–2 Grimsby Town

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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49 bookmaker (15 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Salford City (Casa)

Previsione 41.60%2.40quota equa
EV -4.31%
Vantaggio -1.87%
Kelly -3.32%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.70%41.61%41.58%42.97%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.122.212.202.3047.17%45.32%45.45%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grimsby Town (Trasferta)

Previsione 30.03%3.33quota equa
EV -0.897%
Vantaggio -0.272%
Kelly -0.390%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
28.37%29.99%29.99%31.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.803.103.103.3035.71%32.26%32.26%30.30%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Pareggio

Previsione 28.36%3.53quota equa
EV -3.56%
Vantaggio -1.05%
Kelly -1.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.40

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
27.18%28.40%28.42%30.01%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
3.003.253.253.4033.33%30.72%30.77%29.41%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (49 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaPareggioMargineAggiornamento
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.00%EV -4.31%E -1.87%K -3.32%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.42%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.58%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 12:50
NordicBet2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:15
Betsson2.28I 43.86%NM 40.83%EV -5.14%E -2.26%K -4.02%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.52%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.64%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-15 17:10
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.03%EV -5.56%E -2.45%K -4.38%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.15%EV -3.84%E -1.13%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-15 18:05
DraftKings2.25I 44.44%NM 41.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.94%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.15%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-15 18:00
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 41.88%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.40%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-15 11:04
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.62%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.37%EV -0.897%E -0.272%K -0.390%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 30.01%EV -11.50%E -3.69%K -5.43%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-15 17:59
Unibet (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-15 05:19
Coolbet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-14 18:26
Betr (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Sky Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.46%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.10%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 17:35
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.35%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.63%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-15 12:50
William Hill2.25I 44.44%NM 41.17%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.88%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.95%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 14:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 41.15%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.36%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.49%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-15 12:45
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.71%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.35%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-15 17:35
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.91%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.20%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.89%EV -6.40%E -1.94%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-15 14:54
Betway2.25I 44.44%NM 40.76%EV -6.39%E -2.84%K -5.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.57%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 17:24
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:19
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 41.66%EV -6.81%E -3.04%K -5.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.63%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.71%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 15:25
Marathon Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 41.84%EV -7.22%E -3.24%K -5.87%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.71%EV -5.70%E -1.82%K -2.66%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 28.45%EV -6.96%E -2.12%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 18:00
1xBet2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -8.06%E -3.64%K -6.66%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-15 18:10
theScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.01%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.81%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.18%EV -3.56%E -1.05%K -1.48%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-15 18:05
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-15 18:00
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 41.62%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.04%EV -11.41%E -3.87%K -5.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.33%EV -4.98%E -1.49%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-15 18:05
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:56
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -6.90%E -2.23%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.33%EV -12.07%E -3.89%K -5.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 14:54
SportsBet2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-15 17:35
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.12%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.16%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.72%EV -10.65%E -3.38%K -4.95%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-15 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 39.70%EV -8.47%E -3.85%K -7.06%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.19%EV -15.91%E -5.68%K -8.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.11%EV -14.91%E -4.97%K -7.45%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-15 17:35
BetRivers2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 18:00
TABtouch2.17I 46.08%NM 42.82%EV -9.72%E -4.48%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -2.40%E -0.738%K -1.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.59%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-15 17:55
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.41%E -2.76%K -4.10%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-15 18:00
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -10.55%E -4.91%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -9.91%E -3.30%K -4.95%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-15 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Svenska Spel2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Grosvenor2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet (NL)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Casumo2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
betPARX2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
ATG (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Unibet2.14I 46.73%NM 42.97%EV -10.97%E -5.13%K -9.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -3.90%E -1.22%K -1.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.29%EV -7.81%E -2.40%K -3.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-15 17:35
Virgin Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LeoVegas2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
LiveScore Bet2.12I 47.17%NM 42.82%EV -11.80%E -5.57%K -10.54%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.82%EV -5.40%E -1.71%K -2.51%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.37%EV -9.23%E -2.89%K -4.20%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-15 18:00
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:55
Matchbook2.40I 41.67%NM 41.25%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.29%1.0%2026-05-15 17:50
Smarkets2.38I 42.02%NM 41.29%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.23%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.48%1.8%2026-05-15 18:10