Language:English
Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Port Vale (Local)
Prediction 47.98%2.08fair odd
EV -4.03%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.03%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.68%48.01%48.04%50.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.791.911.922.0055.87%52.40%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visit)
Prediction 24.11%4.15fair odd
EV -1.17%
Edge -0.285%
Kelly -0.377%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 4.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.32%24.13%24.14%26.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV +0.476%
Edge +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.00%27.86%27.82%29.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.283.303.6032.26%30.51%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Port Vale (Local): 47.98%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 24.11%; Draw: 27.91%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.60, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.476%.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.32%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.17%E -0.285%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -7.06%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.51%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -13.15%E -7.26%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |