The School of Odds
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Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers

2026-08-22 14:00 UTC — League 2

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Port Vale (Local)

Prediction 55.16%1.81fair odd
EV -4.58%
Edge -2.65%
Kelly -6.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.73

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.93%55.04%55.28%56.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.691.681.7360.24%59.28%59.52%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visit)

Prediction 18.68%5.35fair odd
EV -4.37%
Edge -0.854%
Kelly -1.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 5.12

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.29%18.69%18.61%19.58%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.604.904.905.1221.74%20.41%20.41%19.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.17%3.82fair odd
EV -4.50%
Edge -1.23%
Kelly -1.70%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.65%26.27%26.11%27.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.513.503.6529.41%28.46%28.57%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: Port Vale (Local): 55.16%; Tranmere Rovers (Visit): 18.68%; Draw: 26.17%. For Tranmere Rovers (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.35. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 5.12, with an expected value of -4.37%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.75%EV -4.58%E -2.65%K -6.27%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.94%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.31%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-15 18:59
Betr (AU)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.89%EV -5.13%E -2.98%K -7.12%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.88%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-15 18:59
Fanatics🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.20%EV -5.68%E -3.32%K -8.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.54%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.26%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 19:04
Coolbet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.18%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-15 19:00
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -8.48%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:04
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.36%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.86%EV -8.48%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.78%EV -9.73%E -2.82%K -3.97%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 19:04
888sport🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.35%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:54
William Hill🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 53.93%EV -6.23%E -3.67%K -8.90%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.10%EV -10.35%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.97%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:54
1xBet🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.10%EV -6.78%E -4.01%K -9.83%G +0.000%4.97I 20.12%NM 18.74%EV -7.17%E -1.44%K -1.81%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.16%EV -6.85%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 19:24
Bet Right🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 54.54%EV -7.34%E -4.37%K -10.79%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.29%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 18:59
Pinnacle🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.06%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.12I 19.53%NM 18.29%EV -4.37%E -0.854%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.65%EV -4.50%E -1.23%K -1.70%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-15 19:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:04
DraftKings🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.62%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.58%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.81%E -1.61%K -2.23%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-15 20:00
Marathon Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.46%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -6.61%E -1.32%K -1.65%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.02%EV -6.85%E -1.92%K -2.68%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 19:19
SportsBet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.01%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.75%EV -8.48%E -1.73%K -2.17%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-15 18:59
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.79%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.06%EV -10.35%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.14%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 19:00
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 54.68%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.23%EV -11.28%E -2.37%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 18:59
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 53.93%EV -7.89%E -4.72%K -11.77%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.58%EV -14.08%E -3.06%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.49%EV -11.04%E -3.25%K -4.60%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-15 18:59
Codere (IT)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 54.94%EV -8.44%E -5.08%K -12.79%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.00%EV -10.35%E -2.16%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.42%E -2.41%K -3.37%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 20:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (1)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets◎1.60I 62.50%NM 53.66%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.51%3.20I 31.25%NM 26.83%16.5%2026-08-15 20:04

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