Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers

Coup d’envoi : 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Score final : Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere Rovers

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Port Vale (Local)

Prévision 47.98%2.08cote équitable
EV -4.03%
Avantage -2.02%
Kelly -4.03%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.68%48.01%48.04%50.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.791.911.922.0055.87%52.40%52.08%50.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur)

Prévision 24.11%4.15cote équitable
EV -1.17%
Avantage -0.285%
Kelly -0.377%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
22.32%24.13%24.14%26.00%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.91%3.58cote équitable
EV +0.476%
Avantage +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.00%27.86%27.82%29.36%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.283.303.6032.26%30.51%30.30%27.78%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Port Vale (Local) : 47.98% ; Tranmere Rovers (Visiteur) : 24.11% ; Match nul : 27.91%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.58. 1 opérateur proposait une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.60, soit une espérance positive de +0.476%.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nul ▼MargeMise à jour
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%6.8%2026-08-22 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.32%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.17%E -0.285%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -7.06%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.51%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -13.15%E -7.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-22 13:55