Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers

Inizio: 2026-08-22 14:00 UTC

Finale: Port Vale 1–1 Tranmere Rovers

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

51 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Port Vale (Casa)

Previsione 47.98%2.08quota equa
EV -4.03%
Vantaggio -2.02%
Kelly -4.03%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.68%48.01%48.04%50.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.791.911.922.0055.87%52.40%52.08%50.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Tranmere Rovers (Trasferta)

Previsione 24.11%4.15quota equa
EV -1.17%
Vantaggio -0.285%
Kelly -0.377%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.32%24.13%24.14%26.00%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Pareggio

Previsione 27.91%3.58quota equa
EV +0.476%
Vantaggio +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Crescita +0.001%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.60

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
26.00%27.86%27.82%29.36%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.283.303.6032.26%30.51%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Port Vale (Casa): 47.98%; Tranmere Rovers (Trasferta): 24.11%; Pareggio: 27.91%. Per Pareggio, questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.58. 1 bookmaker offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello; la migliore era 3.60, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +0.476%.

Quote dei bookmaker (51 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggio ▼MargineAggiornamento
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001%6.8%2026-08-22 13:54
Sky Bet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.32%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-22 13:49
LowVig.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:10
BetOnline.ag🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:10
betfred_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:45
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-22 11:40
DraftKings🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-22 11:40
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-22 13:28
Coolbet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%6.7%2026-08-22 11:44
BetMGM🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:39
Tipico (DE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.17%E -0.285%K -0.377%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%8.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-22 13:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Neds🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-22 11:40
1xBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -7.06%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-22 11:39
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-08-22 13:55
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-22 13:50
Marathon Bet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.51%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-22 13:50
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-08-22 13:09
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-08-22 11:45
LeoVegas🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-22 13:15
theScore Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-22 11:45
SportsBet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.46%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-22 13:49
Bet Right🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-22 11:44
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:15
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-22 13:09
Codere (IT)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-22 11:45
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-22 11:44
Unibet (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
betPARX🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
ATG (SE)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Casumo🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
TABtouch🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Unibet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:39
BetRivers🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-22 11:40
PlayUp🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-22 12:25
Grosvenor🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-22 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -13.15%E -7.26%K -16.23%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-22 11:40
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:39
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-22 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%13.4%2026-08-22 11:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaPareggioMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Smarkets◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:45
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77%1.4%2026-08-22 13:15
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06%1.8%2026-08-22 13:55