Idioma:Español
Port Vale v Tranmere Rovers
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Port Vale (Local)
Predicción 47.98%2.08momio equitativo
EV -4.03%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.03%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.68%48.01%48.04%50.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.791.911.922.0055.87%52.40%52.08%50.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Tranmere Rovers (Visitante)
Predicción 24.11%4.15momio equitativo
EV -1.17%
Ventaja -0.285%
Kelly -0.377%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.32%24.13%24.14%26.00%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.603.883.904.1027.78%25.76%25.64%24.39%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Empate
Predicción 27.91%3.58momio equitativo
EV +0.476%
Ventaja +0.132%
Kelly +0.183%
Crecimiento +0.001%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.00%27.86%27.82%29.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.283.303.6032.26%30.51%30.30%27.78%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Port Vale (Local): 47.98%; Tranmere Rovers (Visitante): 24.11%; Empate: 27.91%. Para Empate, esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.58. 1 corredor ofreció momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.60, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +0.476%.
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV -13.22%E -3.67%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.00%EV +0.476%E +0.132%K +0.183%G +0.001% | 6.8% | 2026-08-22 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.95%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.48%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.57%EV -2.32%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.12%EV -4.51%E -2.27%K -4.56%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.69%EV -12.02%E -3.29%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.18%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:10 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.52%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.65%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.83%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.29%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.89%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.82%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.13%EV -4.03%E -2.02%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.14%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.73%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.23%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-22 13:28 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.08%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 24.35%EV -7.19%E -1.87%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.39%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.49%EV -1.17%E -0.285%K -0.377%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.12%EV -5.11%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.31%EV -5.47%E -2.78%K -5.64%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.62%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.39I 29.50%NM 28.07%EV -5.39%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.03%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.17%EV -10.81%E -2.92%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.80%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 4.03I 24.81%NM 23.21%EV -2.86%E -0.709%K -0.942%G +0.000% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.08%EV -7.06%E -2.12%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.45%EV -4.99%E -2.52%K -5.09%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 24.09%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.47%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.43%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.63%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.15%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.27%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.92I 25.51%NM 23.64%EV -5.51%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.76%EV -8.83%E -4.65%K -9.81%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.08%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-22 13:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.34%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.68%EV -5.99%E -1.54%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.98%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.04%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.15%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.81%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.76%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.45%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.57%EV -10.27%E -5.49%K -11.80%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.90%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.68%EV -9.31%E -4.93%K -10.46%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.00%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-22 13:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.71%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.11%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.94%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.76%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-22 13:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.35%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.24%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.41%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-08-22 11:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.48%EV -8.35%E -4.37%K -9.18%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.18%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.34%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-08-22 11:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 49.28%EV -12.19%E -6.66%K -14.68%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.18%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 47.14%EV -7.87%E -4.10%K -8.55%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.13%EV -9.60%E -2.56%K -3.49%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.73%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-08-22 12:25 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 49.19%EV -12.67%E -6.96%K -15.45%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.42%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 49.33%EV -13.15%E -7.26%K -16.23%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.32%EV -3.58%E -0.895%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 28.35%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:39 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.68%EV -6.43%E -3.30%K -6.77%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -8.40%E -2.21%K -3.00%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.36%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 49.25%EV -14.11%E -7.88%K -17.86%G +0.000% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.32%EV -4.78%E -1.21%K -1.62%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.44%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-08-22 11:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.30% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.93% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.77% | 1.4% | 2026-08-22 13:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.10% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.84% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.06% | 1.8% | 2026-08-22 13:55 |