Language:English
Notts County v Salford City
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 30.71%3.26fair odd
EV -1.73%
Edge -0.540%
Kelly -0.785%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.22%30.75%30.47%32.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.852.982.953.2035.09%33.60%33.90%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Salford City (Visit)
Prediction 38.23%2.62fair odd
EV -1.37%
Edge -0.530%
Kelly -0.866%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.21%38.15%38.34%39.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.432.432.5843.48%41.10%41.15%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 31.06%3.22fair odd
EV -0.607%
Edge -0.190%
Kelly -0.276%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.49%31.10%31.19%32.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.40%33.33%31.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 30.71%; Salford City (Visit): 38.23%; Draw: 31.06%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.22. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.20, with an expected value of -0.607%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -2.03%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.11%EV -8.63%E -3.61%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.06%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.37%EV -3.57%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.19%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17%EV -4.96%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -7.26%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.86%E -3.78%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:46 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -0.607%E -0.190%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.16%E -0.686%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |