L’École des cotes

Notts County v Salford City

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

Score final : Notts County 3–0 Salford City

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 30.71%3.26cote équitable
EV -1.73%
Avantage -0.540%
Kelly -0.785%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.22%30.75%30.47%32.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.852.982.953.2035.09%33.60%33.90%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Salford City (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.23%2.62cote équitable
EV -1.37%
Avantage -0.530%
Kelly -0.866%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.21%38.15%38.34%39.11%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.432.432.5843.48%41.10%41.15%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 31.06%3.22cote équitable
EV -0.607%
Avantage -0.190%
Kelly -0.276%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
29.49%31.10%31.19%32.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.40%33.33%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 13:49
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -2.03%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.11%EV -8.63%E -3.61%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.06%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:50
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.37%EV -3.57%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.19%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17%EV -4.96%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 13:50
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -7.26%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 13:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:50
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:29
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.86%E -3.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:46
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -0.607%E -0.190%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-25 13:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.16%E -0.686%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:10
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-05-25 13:50