La escuela de los momios

Notts County v Salford City

Inicio: 2026-05-25 14:00 UTC

Final: Notts County 3–0 Salford City

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

49 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Predicción 30.71%3.26momio equitativo
EV -1.73%
Ventaja -0.540%
Kelly -0.785%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.22%30.75%30.47%32.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.852.982.953.2035.09%33.60%33.90%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Salford City (Visitante)

Predicción 38.23%2.62momio equitativo
EV -1.37%
Ventaja -0.530%
Kelly -0.866%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.58

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
36.21%38.15%38.34%39.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.302.432.432.5843.48%41.10%41.15%38.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 31.06%3.22momio equitativo
EV -0.607%
Ventaja -0.190%
Kelly -0.276%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.49%31.10%31.19%32.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.40%33.33%31.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (49 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-25 13:49
LowVig.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
BetOnline.ag3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000%2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
1xBet3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -2.03%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.11%EV -8.63%E -3.61%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.06%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
DraftKings3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-25 13:50
Pinnacle3.14I 31.85%NM 30.37%EV -3.57%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.19%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17%EV -4.96%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-25 13:40
Unibet (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Betway3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:50
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-25 13:50
Marathon Bet3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -7.26%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-25 13:50
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-25 13:30
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Sky Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-25 13:50
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
William Hill3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
888sport (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:29
Mr Green (SE)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
SportsBet3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.86%E -3.78%K -5.81%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
Betsson2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
NordicBet2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:50
Betr (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Coolbet2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Neds2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:50
TABtouch2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-25 13:50
BetMGM2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-25 13:47
Bovada2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:46
Everygame2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000%9.8%2026-05-25 13:50
theScore Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
betPARX2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Grosvenor2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Casumo2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet (NL)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Unibet2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Svenska Spel2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
ATG (SE)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-25 13:50
Bet Right2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-25 13:50
PointsBet (AU)2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-25 13:50
PlayUp2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-25 13:50
betfred_uk2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -0.607%E -0.190%K -0.276%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-25 13:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000%14.6%2026-05-25 13:40
BetRivers2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.16%E -0.686%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-25 09:10
LeoVegas2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
LiveScore Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Virgin Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.1%2026-05-25 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Matchbook3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58%0.5%2026-05-25 13:50
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08%0.6%2026-05-25 13:50