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Notts County v Salford City
Коэффициенты закрытия — вероятности и ожидаемая ценность, рассчитанные выбранной моделью по последним коэффициентам, зарегистрированным до начала матча. Матч уже начался, поэтому это не текущие показатели. Оценить надёжность вероятностных прогнозов каждой модели по результатам всех завершённых матчей →
Победитель встречи
Notts County (Хозяева)
Прогноз 30.71%3.26справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.73%
Преимущество -0.540%
Kelly -0.785%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.22%30.75%30.47%32.77%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.852.982.953.2035.09%33.60%33.90%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Salford City (Гости)
Прогноз 38.23%2.62справедливый коэффициент
EV -1.37%
Преимущество -0.530%
Kelly -0.866%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 2.58
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
36.21%38.15%38.34%39.11%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.302.432.432.5843.48%41.10%41.15%38.76%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Ничья
Прогноз 31.06%3.22справедливый коэффициент
EV -0.607%
Преимущество -0.190%
Kelly -0.276%
Рост +0.000%
при максимальном коэффициенте 3.20
Распределение прогнозов букмекерских контор
29.49%31.10%31.19%32.46%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
Распределение коэффициентов
2.752.993.003.2036.36%33.40%33.33%31.25%МИН.СРЕДНЕЕМЕДИАНАМАКС.
По последним коэффициентам перед началом модель Межквартильное среднее (Отобранный список) оценивала рынок «Победитель встречи» так: Notts County (Хозяева): 30.71%; Salford City (Гости): 38.23%; Ничья: 31.06%. Для исхода «Ничья» эта оценка соответствовала справедливому десятичному коэффициенту 3.22. Ни один подходящий букмекер не предлагал итоговый коэффициент выше этого уровня: лучший составлял 3.20, математическое ожидание — -0.607%; положительного ожидания не было.
Коэффициенты букмекерских контор (49 букмекерских контор)
Мы не связаны ни с одной букмекерской конторой и ничего не зарабатываем на действиях, совершаемых у них.
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева ▼ | Гости | Ничья | Маржа | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.33%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.31%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.22%EV -1.73%E -0.540%K -0.785%G +0.000% | 2.44I 40.98%NM 38.32%EV -6.72%E -2.75%K -4.67%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.46%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.19I 31.35%NM 29.30%EV -2.03%E -0.638%K -0.929%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.11%EV -8.63%E -3.61%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 31.58%EV -8.06%E -2.72%K -4.11%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.98%EV -3.26%E -1.04%K -1.52%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.54%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.48%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.14I 31.85%NM 30.37%EV -3.57%E -1.14%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.46%EV -5.19%E -2.09%K -3.51%G +0.000% | 3.06I 32.68%NM 31.17%EV -4.96%E -1.62%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.99%EV -4.80%E -1.55%K -2.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.95%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.06%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 30.88%EV -7.26%E -2.40%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.54%EV -7.48%E -3.09%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.58%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.57%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.88%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.55%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-25 13:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.33%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.36%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.32%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.08%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.08%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetUS🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -8.37%E -2.84%K -4.29%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.26%EV -9.01%E -3.79%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.40%EV -9.93%E -3.42%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.35%EV -7.87%E -2.62%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.93%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 2.87I 34.84%NM 31.72%EV -10.86%E -3.78%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.98I 33.56%NM 31.35%EV -8.48%E -2.85%K -4.28%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 36.21%EV -1.37%E -0.530%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -10.55%E -3.66%K -5.61%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.69%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.16%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.16%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.53%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.50%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.37%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.78%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.85%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-25 13:47 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 31.13%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.26%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.61%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:46 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.95I 33.90%NM 30.87%EV -9.41%E -3.19%K -4.82%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.17%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.96%EV -11.48%E -4.03%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.81%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.44%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.76%EV -3.71%E -1.20%K -1.77%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.80%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 37.96%EV -7.10%E -2.92%K -4.97%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.24%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.65%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.25%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.10%EV -5.27%E -1.73%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.50%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.45%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.29%EV -10.94%E -3.77%K -5.76%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.30%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.41%EV -13.03%E -4.65%K -7.24%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.77%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.75%EV -4.43%E -1.77%K -2.95%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.49%EV -0.607%E -0.190%K -0.276%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-25 13:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 30.31%EV -11.55%E -4.01%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -12.07%E -5.25%K -9.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 31.74%EV -14.58%E -5.30%K -8.33%G +0.000% | 14.6% | 2026-05-25 13:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.59%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.92%EV -6.34%E -2.59%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.49%EV -2.16%E -0.686%K -1.00%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-25 09:10 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 31.87%EV -12.48%E -4.38%K -6.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.85%EV -8.25%E -3.44%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.28%EV -6.82%E -2.27%K -3.41%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
Маржа = Маржа · I = Подразумеваемая вероятность · NM = Вероятность без маржи · EV = Ожидаемая ценность · E = Преимущество · K = Критерий Келли · G = Рост капитала
Обновлено — время последнего изменения коэффициента каждой букмекерской конторой. Более раннее время означает лишь, что коэффициент не менялся, а не что он устарел. Конторы, от которых около 15 минут не поступали данные, обычно исключаются; последние зарегистрированные коэффициенты показываются только тогда, когда перестаёт обновляться весь поток данных по рынку.
Биржи ставок (5)
| Букмекерская контора | Хозяева | Гости | Ничья | Маржа ▲ | Обновлено |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.30I 30.30%NM 30.15% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.27% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.58% | 0.5% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.68% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 32.08% | 0.6% | 2026-05-25 13:50 |