Language:English
Notts County v Grimsby Town
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Notts County (Local)
Prediction 45.69%2.19fair odd
EV -4.05%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.48%45.71%45.91%47.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.15%48.78%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Grimsby Town (Visit)
Prediction 27.09%3.69fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.687%
Kelly -0.951%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.40%27.02%27.01%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.60%29.41%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.22%3.67fair odd
EV -2.01%
Edge -0.560%
Kelly -0.775%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%27.28%27.08%28.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.353.303.6033.33%29.89%30.30%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Notts County (Local): 45.69%; Grimsby Town (Visit): 27.09%; Draw: 27.22%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.67. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.60, with an expected value of -2.01%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 03:24 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.51%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -3.56%E -0.999%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%EV -2.83%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.38%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 03:29 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.25%E -3.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 03:29 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.16%E -4.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.81%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:51 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:04 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.21%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.73%E -6.66%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |