A Escola das Odds

Notts County v Grimsby Town

Início: 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

51 casas de apostas (18 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Notts County (Local)

Previsão 45.69%2.19odd justa
EV -4.05%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -3.68%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.10

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
43.48%45.71%45.91%47.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.15%48.78%47.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Grimsby Town (Visitante)

Previsão 27.09%3.69odd justa
EV -2.47%
Vantagem -0.687%
Kelly -0.951%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.40%27.02%27.01%28.26%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.60%29.41%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 27.22%3.67odd justa
EV -2.01%
Vantagem -0.560%
Kelly -0.775%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.60

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.61%27.28%27.08%28.74%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.003.353.303.6033.33%29.89%30.30%27.78%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (51 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:49
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:06
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:24
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 22:05
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.51%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -3.56%E -0.999%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%EV -2.83%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 13:43
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.38%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 03:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:29
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.25%E -3.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:54
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:54
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 03:29
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.16%E -4.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.81%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:51
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.21%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.73%E -6.66%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 12:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%2.5%2026-02-28 14:15