La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Notts County v Grimsby Town
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Notts County (Local)
Predicción 45.69%2.19momio equitativo
EV -4.05%
Ventaja -1.93%
Kelly -3.68%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
43.48%45.71%45.91%47.28%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.15%48.78%47.62%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Grimsby Town (Visitante)
Predicción 27.09%3.69momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.687%
Kelly -0.951%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.40%27.02%27.01%28.26%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.60%29.41%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.22%3.67momio equitativo
EV -2.01%
Ventaja -0.560%
Kelly -0.775%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.61%27.28%27.08%28.74%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.353.303.6033.33%29.89%30.30%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (51 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| Coral | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| BetMGM | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-02-28 11:45 |
| Neds | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-27 19:44 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-02-28 14:06 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-02-28 03:24 |
| PlayUp | 2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-02-26 22:05 |
| Unibet | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| TABtouch | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Casumo | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| BetRivers | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Grosvenor | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Unibet (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| betPARX | 2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Pinnacle | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.51%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -3.56%E -0.999%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%EV -2.83%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bet Victor | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 13:43 |
| DraftKings | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.38%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Fanatics | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-27 19:49 |
| 888sport | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| William Hill | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 13:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-02-28 03:29 |
| LeoVegas | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:30 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| 1xBet | 2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.25%E -3.57%K -7.04%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Betsson | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:54 |
| NordicBet | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-02-28 08:54 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-02-28 03:29 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.16%E -4.06%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.81%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000% | 3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-02-28 12:51 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Coolbet | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Paddy Power | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-02-28 12:04 |
| Betway | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Bovada | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 13:54 |
| BetUS | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-02-28 08:49 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| Bet Right | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| Sky Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| theScore Bet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-02-28 13:45 |
| SportsBet | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
| Everygame | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.21%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 14:00 |
| BoyleSports | 1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-02-28 10:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.73%E -6.66%K -13.99%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 16.0% | 2026-02-28 12:40 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Matchbook | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13% | 1.0% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |
| Smarkets | 2.08I 48.08%NM 46.89% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09% | 2.5% | 2026-02-28 14:15 |