L’École des cotes

Notts County v Grimsby Town

Coup d’envoi : 2026-02-28 15:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Notts County (Local)

Prévision 45.69%2.19cote équitable
EV -4.05%
Avantage -1.93%
Kelly -3.68%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.48%45.71%45.91%47.28%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.032.052.1052.36%49.15%48.78%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Grimsby Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.09%3.69cote équitable
EV -2.47%
Avantage -0.687%
Kelly -0.951%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.40%27.02%27.01%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6031.25%29.60%29.41%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.22%3.67cote équitable
EV -2.01%
Avantage -0.560%
Kelly -0.775%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%27.28%27.08%28.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.003.353.303.6033.33%29.89%30.30%27.78%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:49
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-27 19:49
BetMGM2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.63%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.4%2026-02-28 11:45
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:44
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -4.05%E -1.93%K -3.68%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-27 19:44
BetOnline.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:05
LowVig.ag2.09I 47.85%NM 45.92%EV -4.51%E -2.16%K -4.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.42%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.66%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%4.2%2026-02-28 14:06
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.15%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.22%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-02-28 03:24
PlayUp2.08I 48.08%NM 43.48%EV -4.96%E -2.39%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.26%EV -12.90%E -4.03%K -5.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-02-26 22:05
Unibet2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
TABtouch2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Casumo2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (NL)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
BetRivers2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Grosvenor2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Unibet (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Svenska Spel2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
ATG (SE)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
betPARX2.06I 48.54%NM 44.10%EV -5.88%E -2.85%K -5.54%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.96%E -3.68%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 10:30
Pinnacle2.05I 48.78%NM 46.51%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.78%EV -3.56%E -0.999%K -1.39%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.71%EV -2.83%E -0.793%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -4.74%E -1.35%K -1.89%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 13:43
DraftKings2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.36%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.59%EV -3.38%E -0.951%K -1.32%G +0.000%5.9%2026-02-28 14:15
Fanatics2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-27 19:49
888sport2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
William Hill2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
888sport (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
Mr Green (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.96%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 13:30
PointsBet (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.77%EV -6.33%E -3.09%K -6.03%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.99%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.24%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%9.0%2026-02-28 03:29
LeoVegas2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:30
Virgin Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:30
LiveScore Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 44.15%EV -6.79%E -3.33%K -6.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -13.31%E -4.16%K -6.05%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.71%EV -11.54%E -3.55%K -5.13%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:29
1xBet2.03I 49.26%NM 45.90%EV -7.25%E -3.57%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.01%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 27.09%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-02-28 13:45
Betsson2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:54
NordicBet2.02I 49.50%NM 46.06%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.54%E -1.89%K -2.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.97%EV -6.10%E -1.77%K -2.49%G +0.000%7.5%2026-02-28 08:54
Codere (IT)2.02I 49.50%NM 44.96%EV -7.70%E -3.81%K -7.55%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.52%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.1%2026-02-28 03:29
Marathon Bet2.01I 49.75%NM 46.11%EV -8.16%E -4.06%K -8.08%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.81%E -1.98%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -6.37%E -1.85%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.9%2026-02-28 12:51
Betr (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Coolbet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.2%2026-02-28 13:45
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-02-28 12:04
Betway2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.03%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 14:15
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 13:54
BetUS2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -8.62%E -4.31%K -8.62%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-02-28 08:49
Tipico (DE)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.68%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.27%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.05%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.7%2026-02-28 12:40
Bet Right1.97I 50.76%NM 46.64%EV -9.99%E -5.07%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%8.8%2026-02-28 13:45
Sky Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 47.28%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.11%EV -7.89%E -2.32%K -3.29%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.61%EV -2.01%E -0.560%K -0.775%G +0.000%8.5%2026-02-28 12:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.89%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.40%EV -2.47%E -0.687%K -0.951%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.71%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%9.4%2026-02-28 13:45
SportsBet1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -5.18%E -1.48%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -10.18%E -3.08%K -4.43%G +0.000%10.2%2026-02-28 12:40
Everygame1.95I 51.28%NM 46.21%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -9.25%E -2.76%K -3.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.90%EV -8.82%E -2.63%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 14:00
BoyleSports1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -10.90%E -5.59%K -11.48%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -7.46%E -2.19%K -3.11%G +0.000%11.0%2026-02-28 10:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 45.14%EV -12.73%E -6.66%K -13.99%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.13%EV -10.60%E -3.21%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.74%EV -18.35%E -6.12%K -9.17%G +0.000%16.0%2026-02-28 12:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 47.15%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.72%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.13%1.0%2026-02-28 14:15
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 46.89%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.09%2.5%2026-02-28 14:15