The School of Odds

Northampton Town v Swindon Town

2026-08-15 14:00 — League 2

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (5 in analysis)

Option 1: Northampton Town (Local)

Odds
2.0050.00%Min
2.0748.35%Mean
2.0548.78%Median
2.1646.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
42.78%2.338Min
45.21%2.212Max
43.43%2.302Mean
43.50%2.299Median
43.54%2.297IQM
43.46%2.301Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.16 under the IQM model: 43.54%

EV -5.95%Edge -2.76%Kelly -5.13%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Swindon Town (Visit)

Odds
2.9034.48%Min
3.1331.98%Mean
3.1032.26%Median
3.3030.30%Max
Consensus probabilities
27.40%3.650Min
30.24%3.307Max
29.44%3.397Mean
29.40%3.402Median
29.35%3.408IQM
29.40%3.401Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.30 under the IQM model: 29.35%

EV -3.16%Edge -0.957%Kelly -1.37%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
3.2530.77%Min
3.3429.90%Mean
3.3529.85%Median
3.5028.57%Max
Consensus probabilities
26.50%3.773Min
27.81%3.596Max
27.13%3.686Mean
27.10%3.690Median
27.11%3.688IQM
27.14%3.684Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 3.50 under the IQM model: 27.11%

EV -5.10%Edge -1.46%Kelly -2.04%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerNorthampton Town (Local) ▼Swindon Town (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
1xBet2.16I 46.30% NM 43.13%EV -5.95% E -2.76% K -5.13% G +0.000%3.16I 31.65% NM 29.48%EV -7.27% E -2.30% K -3.36% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.40%EV -7.82% E -2.30% K -3.26% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 02:10
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51% NM 44.13%EV -6.39% E -2.97% K -5.55% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.75%EV -3.16% E -0.957% K -1.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 27.11%EV -5.10% E -1.46% K -2.04% G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-30 05:49
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73% NM 43.31%EV -6.82% E -3.19% K -5.98% G +0.000%3.15I 31.75% NM 29.43%EV -7.56% E -2.40% K -3.52% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 27.26%EV -7.82% E -2.30% K -3.26% G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-05 02:05
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.72%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 28.46%EV -3.16% E -0.957% K -1.37% G +0.000%3.50I 28.57% NM 26.83%EV -5.10% E -1.46% K -2.04% G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-30 05:49
Bet Right2.10I 47.62% NM 43.80%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 28.74%EV -6.09% E -1.90% K -2.77% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.46%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-30 05:49
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62% NM 43.04%EV -8.56% E -4.08% K -7.79% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.15%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.81%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54% NM 44.05%EV -10.31% E -5.00% K -9.72% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.27%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.69%EV -7.82% E -2.30% K -3.26% G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 05:49
SportsBet2.05I 48.78% NM 44.78%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.82%EV -3.16% E -0.957% K -1.37% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 27.40%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%8.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 43.99%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 29.09%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.35I 29.85% NM 26.92%EV -9.17% E -2.74% K -3.90% G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78% NM 43.95%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%3.05I 32.79% NM 29.54%EV -10.49% E -3.44% K -5.12% G +0.000%3.40I 29.41% NM 26.50%EV -7.82% E -2.30% K -3.26% G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-02 10:19
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78% NM 42.78%EV -10.74% E -5.24% K -10.23% G +0.000%2.90I 34.48% NM 30.24%EV -14.90% E -5.14% K -7.84% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 26.98%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-30 05:49
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00% NM 45.21%EV -12.92% E -6.46% K -12.92% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.40%EV -3.16% E -0.957% K -1.37% G +0.000%3.30I 30.30% NM 27.40%EV -10.53% E -3.19% K -4.58% G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 06:09
Sky Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 44.24%EV -12.92% E -6.46% K -12.92% G +0.000%3.10I 32.26% NM 28.54%EV -9.03% E -2.91% K -4.30% G +0.000%3.25I 30.77% NM 27.22%EV -11.88% E -3.66% K -5.28% G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-30 05:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.00I 50.00% NM 43.11%EV -12.92% E -6.46% K -12.92% G +0.000%3.20I 31.25% NM 26.95%EV -6.09% E -1.90% K -2.77% G +0.000%2.88I 34.72% NM 29.94%EV -21.91% E -7.61% K -11.66% G +0.000%16.0%2026-06-30 05:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerNorthampton Town (Local)Swindon Town (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.02I 98.04%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20