StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Northampton Town v Swindon Town

Matchstart: 2026-08-15 14:00 UTC

Slutresultat: Northampton Town 0–0 Swindon Town

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

52 spelbolag (18 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

Northampton Town (Hemma)

Prognos 42.66%2.34rättvist odds
EV -3.15%
Fördel -1.39%
Kelly -2.48%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.27

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
41.49%42.65%42.79%43.57%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.042.172.152.2749.02%46.18%46.51%44.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Swindon Town (Borta)

Prognos 29.87%3.35rättvist odds
EV -4.42%
Fördel -1.38%
Kelly -2.01%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.20

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
28.67%29.91%29.81%31.05%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.003.113.103.2033.33%32.12%32.26%31.25%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.47%3.64rättvist odds
EV -3.03%
Fördel -0.860%
Kelly -1.20%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.53

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.61%27.44%27.40%28.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.203.343.303.5331.25%29.97%30.30%28.33%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: Northampton Town (Hemma): 42.66%; Swindon Town (Borta): 29.87%; Oavgjort: 27.47%. För Oavgjort motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 3.64. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 3.53, med väntevärdet -3.03%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (52 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Pinnacle🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -3.15%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000%3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.60%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -3.03%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-15 13:45
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-15 13:34
DraftKings🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-15 13:34
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-15 13:34
BetOnline.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
LowVig.ag🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
BetUS🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
1xBet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:54
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-15 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-15 13:34
Unibet (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-15 13:45
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:38
betano_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-15 13:38
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-15 13:49
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:39
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-15 13:34
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:34
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:34
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Coolbet🎯2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-15 13:34
Marathon Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-15 13:50
Tipico (DE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-15 13:54
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:54
Fanatics🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-15 13:34
NordicBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:50
Betsson🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-15 13:49
LeoVegas🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:44
Bovada🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:54
Bet Right🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-15 13:34
SportsBet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-15 13:54
Codere (IT)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-08-15 13:45
PlayUp🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-15 13:34
Svenska Spel🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:59
Unibet (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:59
BetRivers🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:59
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-09 12:59
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-15 13:34
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:44
theScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-15 13:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 13:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000%12.5%2026-08-09 13:00
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (5)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-15 13:55
Matchbook2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86%1.1%2026-08-15 13:50
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83%1.2%2026-08-15 13:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14%1.5%2026-08-15 13:50