L’École des cotes

Northampton Town v Swindon Town

2026-08-15 14:00 UTC — League 2

Résultat du match

42 opérateurs (11 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Northampton Town (Local)

Prévision 43.24%2.31cote équitable
EV -4.87%
Avantage -2.21%
Kelly -4.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.43%43.23%43.17%44.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.052.112.102.2048.78%47.40%47.62%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Swindon Town (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.65%3.37cote équitable
EV -5.13%
Avantage -1.60%
Kelly -2.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.86%29.65%29.74%30.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.903.103.103.2034.48%32.26%32.26%31.25%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 27.11%3.69cote équitable
EV -5.11%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -2.05%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.22%27.12%27.09%28.09%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.253.363.353.5030.77%29.77%29.85%28.57%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (42 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 05:18
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-17 15:43
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 05:15
Neds2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 15:49
Ladbrokes (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 15:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.87%E -2.21%K -4.05%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-17 18:25
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.75%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.14I 31.85%NM 29.68%EV -6.91%E -2.20%K -3.23%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.57%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 13:25
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 02:45
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 42.61%EV -5.73%E -2.63%K -4.86%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.46%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.93%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-19 02:44
Marathon Bet2.16I 46.30%NM 42.89%EV -6.60%E -3.05%K -5.69%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.70%EV -7.50%E -2.40%K -3.54%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -8.37%E -2.48%K -3.52%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 13:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-18 05:15
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-17 18:04
Bet Right2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%9.1%2026-07-18 05:15
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.57%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.51%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 19:40
Bet Victor2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 02:49
betano_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -7.03%E -3.27%K -6.11%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-19 02:50
SportsBet2.12I 47.17%NM 43.16%EV -8.33%E -3.93%K -7.43%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-18 05:15
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.98%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.86%EV -5.13%E -1.60%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.16%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-17 12:55
Bovada2.10I 47.62%NM 43.40%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.40%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.20%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%9.7%2026-07-24 08:34
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 43.22%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.28%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.50%EV -10.54%E -3.19%K -4.58%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-18 05:15
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 10:29
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 11:29
888sport (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:29
Mr Green (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-30 23:39
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -9.19%E -4.38%K -8.35%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -11.06%E -3.69%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%11.7%2026-07-18 05:15
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 44.15%EV -10.06%E -4.83%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.62%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.23%EV -5.11%E -1.46%K -2.05%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-21 16:35
Codere (IT)2.06I 48.54%NM 44.05%EV -10.92%E -5.30%K -10.30%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.27%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.69%EV -7.83%E -2.30%K -3.26%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-30 05:49
LeoVegas2.05I 48.78%NM 44.12%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.66%EV -9.58%E -3.14%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.22%EV -6.47%E -1.88%K -2.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-22 15:19
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 05:49
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:09
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:10
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:20
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet (NL)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:19
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 06:30
BetRivers2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:09
betPARX2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 43.99%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.09%EV -8.09%E -2.61%K -3.85%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.92%EV -9.18%E -2.74%K -3.91%G +0.000%10.9%2026-06-30 11:29
BoyleSports2.05I 48.78%NM 42.78%EV -11.35%E -5.54%K -10.81%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.24%EV -14.02%E -4.84%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -11.89%E -3.66%K -5.29%G +0.000%14.0%2026-06-30 05:49
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets2.08I 48.08%NM 43.42%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.61%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.96%10.7%2026-07-08 03:05
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.12%1.02I 98.04%NM 33.77%190.3%2026-06-30 15:20