Langue:Français
Northampton Town v Swindon Town
Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →
Résultat du match
Northampton Town (Local)
Prévision 42.66%2.34cote équitable
EV -3.15%
Avantage -1.39%
Kelly -2.48%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 2.27
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.49%42.65%42.79%43.57%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.042.172.152.2749.02%46.18%46.51%44.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Swindon Town (Visiteur)
Prévision 29.87%3.35cote équitable
EV -4.42%
Avantage -1.38%
Kelly -2.01%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.20
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.67%29.91%29.81%31.05%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.003.113.103.2033.33%32.12%32.26%31.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Match nul
Prévision 27.47%3.64cote équitable
EV -3.03%
Avantage -0.860%
Kelly -1.20%
Croissance +0.000%
avec la cote maximale 3.53
Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
26.61%27.44%27.40%28.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.343.303.5331.25%29.97%30.30%28.33%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Northampton Town (Local) : 42.66% ; Swindon Town (Visiteur) : 29.87% ; Match nul : 27.47%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.64. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.53, pour une espérance de -3.03% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.
Cotes des opérateurs (52 opérateurs)
Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.
| Opérateur | Local ▼ | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.02%EV -3.15%E -1.39%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.08I 32.47%NM 30.97%EV -8.01%E -2.60%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 3.53I 28.33%NM 27.02%EV -3.03%E -0.860%K -1.20%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.29%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.73%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.98%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.05%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.43%EV -5.23%E -1.52%K -2.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -4.01%E -1.78%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.22I 45.05%NM 42.00%EV -5.29%E -2.38%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.57%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.21I 45.25%NM 42.32%EV -5.71%E -2.59%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.17%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.18%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.68%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.14%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.97%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.01%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.01%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.51%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.12I 32.05%NM 29.98%EV -6.81%E -2.18%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.51%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-15 13:38 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.34%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.05%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.61%EV -3.86%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:39 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.08%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.05%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 41.49%EV -6.14%E -2.79%K -5.12%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.17I 46.08%NM 42.97%EV -7.42%E -3.42%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.60%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.43%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.09%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.14I 31.85%NM 29.50%EV -6.22%E -1.98%K -2.91%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.41%EV -7.15%E -2.12%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.99%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.82%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.84%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.24%EV -5.92%E -1.88%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.91%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-08-15 13:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.61%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.04%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.35%EV -7.98%E -2.38%K -3.40%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.46%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.45%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.09%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-08-15 13:54 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.26%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 29.79%EV -8.90%E -2.92%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.95%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.1% | 2026-08-15 13:45 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.05%EV -8.27%E -3.85%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.13%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.73%E -3.30%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.39%EV -9.55%E -4.51%K -8.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.74%EV -4.42%E -1.38%K -2.01%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.87%EV -9.35%E -2.83%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-08-09 12:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-15 13:34 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:44 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.15%EV -10.41%E -4.96%K -9.46%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.20%EV -10.40%E -3.47%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.65%EV -6.61%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-15 13:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 43.56%EV -12.97%E -6.36%K -12.47%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.67%EV -7.41%E -2.39%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.77%EV -12.10%E -3.78%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 12.5% | 2026-08-09 13:00 |
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu
Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.
Plateformes d’échange (5)
| Opérateur | Local | Visiteur | Match nul | Marge ▲ | Mise à jour |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.62% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.52% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.86% | 1.1% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 42.23% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.94% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.83% | 1.2% | 2026-08-15 13:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.46% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.40% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 28.14% | 1.5% | 2026-08-15 13:50 |